Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Nov 3, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Nov 4, 10:12 AM EST.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Boston, 74°F (+18°).
- Coolest against normal: Las Vegas, 67°F (−6°).
- 18 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 15 days, New Orleans 9 days, Minneapolis 8 days, Houston 7 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 9 days, Las Vegas 5 days, Phoenix 5 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Houston 89° (record 90°), Boston 74° (record 76°), Louisville 80° (record 82°), Miami 87° (record 89°), New Orleans 83° (record 85°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 14 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM12 h ago, fetched Nov 4, 7:21 AM ESTKalshi settlements9 h ago, settled Nov 4, 10:12 AM EST| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 72° | 2:13 PM | +4°normal 68° | 72° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 83° | 3:23 PM | +7°normal 76° | 81° or aboveUpset: favorite was 79° to 80° (47¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 74° | 1:04 PM | +18°normal 56° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (38¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 73° | 1:11 PM | +18°normal 55° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 77° | 12:19 AM | +6°normal 71° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 56° | 3:12 PM | −2°normal 58° | 55° to 56°Upset: favorite was 54° or below (54¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 89° | 11:43 AM | +13°normal 76° | 88° or aboveUpset: favorite was 84° to 85° (52¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 67° | 3:38 PM | −6°normal 73° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 73° | 2:34 PM | 0°normal 73° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 80° | 2:56 PM | +17°normal 63° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (61¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 87° | 1:32 PM | +4°normal 83° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (65¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 66° | 12:14 AM | +18°normal 48° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 83° | 2:50 PM | +8°normal 75° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 68° | 3:36 PM | +10°normal 58° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 72° | 2:45 PM | +12°normal 60° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 64° | 12:28 AM | −2°normal 66° | 64° to 65°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 71° | 3:23 PM | +10°normal 61° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 79° | 4:24 PM | −3°normal 82° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 84° | 3:12 PM | +8°normal 76° | 82° or aboveUpset: favorite was 80° to 81° (54¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 75° | 2:08 PM | +2°normal 73° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 66° | 1:48 PM | −2°normal 68° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 64° to 65° (52¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 57° | 1:03 PM | +2°normal 55° | 56° to 57°Upset: favorite was 58° to 59° (41¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 69° | 2:53 PM | +10°normal 59° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (65¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 73° | 2:31 PM | +10°normal 63° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 70-71°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 82-83°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 70-71°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 76-77°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 54-55°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 86-87°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 72-73°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 86-87°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 70-71°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 56-57°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam11°C
- Ankara17°C
- Beijing19°C
- Buenos Aires23°C
- Busan19°C
- Cape Town25°C
- Chengdu17°C
- Chongqing16°C
- Guangzhou30°C
- Helsinki7°C
- Hong Kong28°C
- Istanbul17°C
- Jeddah39°C
- Karachi36°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London12°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid14°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan14°C
- Moscow3°C
- Munich6°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris10°C
- Qingdao20°C
- Sao Paulo31°C
- Seoul17°C
- Shanghai21°C
- Shenzhen28°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv28°C
- Tokyo19°C
- Toronto22°C or higher
- Warsaw10°C
- Wellington19°C
- Wuhan16°C
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The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
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