Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Nov 2, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Nov 3, 10:12 AM EST.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 66°F (+17°).
- Coolest against normal: Phoenix, 73°F (−10°).
- 15 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 14 days, New Orleans 8 days, Minneapolis 7 days, Houston 6 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 8 days, Seattle 6 days, Las Vegas 4 days, Phoenix 4 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Austin 86° (record 88°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 14 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM7 h ago, fetched Nov 3, 7:21 AM ESTKalshi settlements5 h ago, settled Nov 3, 10:12 AM EST| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 71° | 1:30 PM | +2°normal 69° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (53¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 86° | 3:13 PM | +10°normal 76° | 86° to 87°✓ favorite came insettled 7:17 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 71° | 3:52 PM | +15°normal 56° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 61° | 10:51 PM | +6°normal 55° | 63° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 85° | 1:23 PM | +13°normal 72° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 52° | 2:33 PM | −6°normal 58° | 52° to 53°Upset: favorite was 50° to 51° (48¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 86° | 2:42 PM | +9°normal 77° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (51¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 69° | 3:44 PM | −5°normal 74° | 69° to 70°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 73° | 3:00 PM | 0°normal 73° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 62° | 6:17 PM | −1°normal 63° | 66° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 85° | 12:34 PM | +2°normal 83° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 80° to 81° (47¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 66° | 11:59 PM | +17°normal 49° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 64° to 65° (67¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 78° | 3:38 PM | +3°normal 75° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 66° | 2:45 PM | +7°normal 59° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 69° | 2:34 PM | +9°normal 60° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (57¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 74° | 5:11 PM | +8°normal 66° | 74° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 66° | 2:51 PM | +5°normal 61° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 73° | 4:11 PM | −10°normal 83° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 83° | 4:53 PM | +7°normal 76° | 82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (56¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 73° | 3:32 PM | 0°normal 73° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (52¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 64° | 5:10 PM | −4°normal 68° | 64° to 65°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 50° | 4:27 PM | −5°normal 55° | 51° or belowUpset: favorite was 54° to 55° (39¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 66° | 1:37 PM | +7°normal 59° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 63° | 2:37 PM | 0°normal 63° | 64° or belowUpset: favorite was 65° to 66° (51¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 70-71°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 84-85°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 60-61°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 84-85°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 50-51°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 86-87°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 72-73°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 84-85°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 66-67°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 50-51°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam14°C
- Ankara17°C
- Beijing18°C
- Buenos Aires26°C
- Busan19°C
- Cape Town21°C
- Chengdu20°C
- Chongqing17°C
- Guangzhou31°C
- Helsinki9°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul21°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London13°C
- Lucknow30°C
- Madrid20°C
- Manila34°C
- Mexico City25°C
- Milan16°C
- Moscow3°C
- Munich7°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris12°C
- Qingdao19°C
- Sao Paulo24°C
- Seoul15°C
- Shanghai21°C
- Shenzhen31°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv34°C
- Tokyo19°C
- Toronto18°C
- Warsaw8°C
- Wellington18°C
- Wuhan21°C
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
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