Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Sep 6, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: San Diego, 95°F (+17°).
- Coolest against normal: Las Vegas, 84°F (−15°).
- 14 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 35 days, Oklahoma City 35 days, Atlanta 30 days, Austin 23 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 11 days, Las Vegas 6 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Atlanta 95° (record 98°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 9 of 23 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements52 days ago, settled Sep 8, 10:49 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 95° | 5:38 PM | +9°normal 86° | 94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (59¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 96° | 1:54 PM | +3°normal 93° | 96° to 97°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 68° | 5:00 PM | −8°normal 76° | 67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (41¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 79° | 2:40 PM | 0°normal 79° | 79° to 80°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 100° | 3:37 PM | +9°normal 91° | 99° to 100°Upset: favorite was 101° to 102° (51¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 92° | 2:13 PM | +9°normal 83° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (43¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 91° | 2:32 PM | 0°normal 91° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (33¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 84° | 7:54 AM | −15°normal 99° | 84° to 85°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 76° | 9:00 PM | −1°normal 77° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (36¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 87° | 4:16 PM | +2°normal 85° | 86° to 87°settled 10:49 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 92° | 12:08 PM | +2°normal 90° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 81° | 1:09 PM | +4°normal 77° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (32¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 92° | 3:34 PM | +2°normal 90° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 76° | 3:09 PM | −4°normal 80° | 75° to 76°Upset: favorite was 73° to 74° (45¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 77° | 12:57 PM | −4°normal 81° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (44¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 102° | 3:05 PM | +15°normal 87° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (40¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 83° | 3:25 PM | +1°normal 82° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (49¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 107° | 4:10 PM | +4°normal 103° | 106° to 107°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 98° | 4:26 PM | +6°normal 92° | 98° to 99°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (41¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 95° | 1:59 PM | +17°normal 78° | 90° or aboveUpset: favorite was 86° to 87° (49¢)settled 7:15 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 72° | 1:37 PM | −3°normal 75° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 74° | 4:23 PM | 0°normal 74° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 79° | 4:28 PM | −1°normal 80° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (17¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 85° | 2:28 PM | +1°normal 84° | 84° to 85°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
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- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
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- Sun, Aug 23
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 94-95°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 96-97°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 78-79°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 98-99°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 92-93°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 88-89°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 74-75°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 70-71°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 72-73°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam22°C
- Ankara32°C
- Beijing31°C
- Buenos Aires12°C
- Busan29°C
- Cape Town27°C
- Chengdu35°C
- Chongqing36°C
- Guangzhou30°C
- Helsinki15°C
- Hong Kong30°C
- Istanbul29°C
- Jeddah38°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi31°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London27°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid37°C
- Manila30°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan32°C
- Moscow16°C
- Munich24°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris28°C
- Qingdao30°C
- Sao Paulo15°C
- Seoul29°C
- Shanghai30°C
- Shenzhen28°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv32°C
- Tokyo23°C
- Toronto22°C
- Warsaw18°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan32°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher