Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Aug 29, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 103°F (+13°).
- Coolest against normal: New York City, 76°F (−6°).
- 15 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
- In Miami, the NWS report and the value Kalshi settled on differ (marked below).
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 27 days, Oklahoma City 27 days, Atlanta 22 days, San Antonio 21 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 3 days, Seattle 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: San Diego 87° (record 88°), Dallas 103° (record 106°), Los Angeles 87° (record 90°), New Orleans 94° (record 97°), Oklahoma City 103° (record 106°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 11 of 23 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements61 days ago, settled Aug 30, 10:16 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 89° | 4:08 PM | +1°normal 88° | 88° to 89°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 100° | 4:43 PM | +5°normal 95° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 74° | — | −5°normal 79° | 75° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 82° | 1:31 PM | +1°normal 81° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 103° | 2:54 PM | +9°normal 94° | 102° to 103°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 93° | 2:36 PM | +8°normal 85° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 96° | — | +4°normal 92° | 96° to 97°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 105° | 2:08 PM | +4°normal 101° | 105° to 106°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 87° | 11:31 AM | +10°normal 77° | 87° or aboveUpset: favorite was 85° to 86° (48¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 89° | 4:52 PM | +2°normal 87° | 89° to 90°settled 8:03 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 85°NWS report | 5:11 AM | −5°normal 90° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (60¢)settled 8:00 AM localKalshi settled on 90°F, The Weather Company's value; the NWS climate report said 85°F. Why they differ |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 83° | 3:31 PM | +4°normal 79° | 82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 79° or below (33¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 94° | 4:46 PM | +3°normal 91° | 94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (47¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 76° | 3:55 PM | −6°normal 82° | 78° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:20 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 80° | 3:32 PM | −3°normal 83° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 79° or below (71¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 103° | 3:14 PM | +13°normal 90° | 102° to 103°Upset: favorite was 100° to 101° (43¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 82° | 4:40 PM | −2°normal 84° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 113° | 3:17 PM | +9°normal 104° | 112° to 113°Upset: favorite was 110° to 111° (52¢)settled 7:15 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 98° | 3:55 PM | +4°normal 94° | 98° to 99°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (51¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 87° | 9:57 AM | +9°normal 78° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 82° or below (44¢)settled 7:16 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 71° | 2:06 PM | −3°normal 74° | 71° to 72°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (43¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 71° | 3:08 PM | −5°normal 76° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 68° to 69° (46¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 78° | 3:36 PM | −4°normal 82° | 78° or belowUpset: favorite was 85° to 86° (48¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 85° | 3:49 PM | −1°normal 86° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:21 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
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- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
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- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
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- Sat, Sep 19
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- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
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- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 88-89°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 98-99°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 80-81°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 92-93°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 94-95°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 84-85°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 84-85°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 78-79°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 70-71°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 70-71°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam22°C
- Ankara23°C
- Beijing31°C
- Buenos Aires21°C
- Busan32°C
- Cape Town16°C
- Chengdu31°C
- Chongqing27°C
- Guangzhou36°C
- Helsinki19°C
- Hong Kong32°C
- Istanbul24°C
- Jeddah38°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi30°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London20°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid30°C
- Manila27°C
- Mexico City23°C
- Milan30°C
- Moscow21°C
- Munich25°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris22°C
- Qingdao28°C
- Sao Paulo33°C
- Seoul29°C
- Shanghai31°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv33°C
- Tokyo27°C
- Toronto26°C
- Warsaw23°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan30°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher