Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Trenton-Mercer Airport (KTTN). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 4:21 AM EDT.
Trenton so far today: the high is 47°F (hourly reading, 1:53 AM), in the 58° or below bracket. The favorite is 59° to 60° at 73¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 12° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM EDT. 6 reports from KTTN from 1:00 AM to 7:14 AM EDT, between 41°F and 47°F; the latest 41°F at 6:53 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 67° or above | 1¢ | |
| 65° to 66° | 1¢ | |
| 63° to 64° | 2¢ | |
| 61° to 62° | 14¢ | |
| 59° to 60° | 73¢ | favorite |
| 58° or below | 11¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 6:53 AM | 41°F |
| 5:53 AM | 41°F |
| 4:53 AM | 42°F |
| 3:53 AM | 46°F |
| 2:53 AM | 43°F |
| 1:53 AM | 47°F |
Which bracket will Trenton settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
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Prices (30 min late) 32 min ago· Readings 21 min ago
High so far today
47°F
hourly reading at 1:53 AM, 6 reports so far
Latest reading
41°F
taken 6:53 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
17 h 46 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 412 | 20 |
| 65° to 66° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 51 | 35 |
| 63° to 64° | 2¢ | 1¢ | 1¢ | 31 × 134 | 11 |
| 61° to 62° | 18¢ | 9¢ | 19¢ | 31 × 1 | 448 |
| 59° to 60°favorite | 75¢ | 70¢ | 75¢ | 2 × 21 | 38 |
| 58° or belowhigh so far 47° | 11¢ | 10¢ | 13¢ | 1 × 47 | 30 |
41°F
Favorite 38° to 39° at 62¢ · 2° to go, down
Low so far set at 6:53 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 17 h 46 min.
From KTTN's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KTTN) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:53 AM | 41° | METAR KTTN 311053Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 05/02 A3040 RMK AO2 SLP289 T00500017 $ | ||
| 5:53 AM | 41° | METAR KTTN 310953Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 05/02 A3038 RMK AO2 SLP282 T00500022 $ | ||
| 4:53 AM | 42° | METAR KTTN 310853Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 06/02 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP272 T00560017 51009 $ | ||
| 3:53 AM | 46° | METAR KTTN 310753Z AUTO 31004KT 10SM CLR 08/02 A3034 RMK AO2 SLP268 T00780017 $ | ||
| 2:53 AM | 43° | METAR KTTN 310653Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 06/02 A3034 RMK AO2 SLP267 T00610022 $ | ||
| 1:53 AM | 47° | 56° | METAR KTTN 310553Z AUTO 31003KT 10SM CLR 08/02 A3032 RMK AO2 SLP263 T00830017 10133 20083 53008 $ |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KTTN (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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