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How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Fri, Oct 30, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 31, 10:10 AM EDT.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Boston, 72°F (+15°).
- Coolest against normal: Phoenix, 74°F (−10°).
- 14 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Louisville 12 days, Dallas 11 days, Newark 7 days, Philadelphia 6 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 5 days, Seattle 3 days.
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 13 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM23 h ago, fetched Oct 31, 8:21 AM EDTKalshi settlements21 h ago, settled Oct 31, 10:10 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 81° | 2:41 PM | +11°normal 70° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (55¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 71° | 11:12 AM | −7°normal 78° | 72° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 72° | 1:10 PM | +15°normal 57° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 57° | 12:58 PM | 0°normal 57° | 59° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 75° | 3:51 PM | +2°normal 73° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 63° | 3:25 PM | +3°normal 60° | 63° to 64°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (38¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 79° | 1:42 PM | +1°normal 78° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 72° | 11:33 AM | −3°normal 75° | 71° to 72°Upset: favorite was 70° or below (51¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 72° | 1:41 PM | −2°normal 74° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 75° | 4:07 PM | +10°normal 65° | 75° to 76°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (56¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 87° | 2:34 PM | +3°normal 84° | 86° to 87°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 58° | 3:35 PM | +7°normal 51° | 57° to 58°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 80° | 1:20 PM | +4°normal 76° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 70° | 12:04 PM | +10°normal 60° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 68° or below (63¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 74° | 11:42 AM | +13°normal 61° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (56¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 67° | 5:09 PM | 0°normal 67° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 74° | 2:31 PM | +12°normal 62° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 74° | 1:13 PM | −10°normal 84° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 73° or below (64¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 68° | 7:18 PM | −9°normal 77° | 71° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 73° | 10:10 AM | −1°normal 74° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (57¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 68° | 1:58 PM | −1°normal 69° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (54¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 49° | 3:52 PM | −7°normal 56° | 50° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 73° | 12:38 PM | +13°normal 60° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (68¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 77° | 2:43 PM | +13°normal 64° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (65¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 80-81°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 70-71°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 58-59°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 74-75°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 62-63°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 78-79°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 70-71°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 86-87°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 70-71°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 66-67°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 48-49°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam13°C
- Ankara17°C
- Beijing22°C
- Buenos Aires24°C
- Busan21°C
- Cape Town25°C
- Chengdu23°C
- Chongqing20°C
- Guangzhou33°C
- Helsinki9°C
- Istanbul15°C
- Jeddah35°C
- Karachi37°C
- Kuala Lumpur32°C
- London15°C
- Lucknow23°C
- Madrid22°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan18°C
- Moscow12°C or higher
- Munich11°C
- Panama City30°C
- Paris16°C
- Qingdao23°C
- Sao Paulo25°C
- Seoul19°C
- Shanghai24°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv25°C
- Tokyo19°C
- Toronto14°C
- Warsaw9°C
- Wellington18°C
- Wuhan23°C
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
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