Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Fri, Sep 4, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Louisville, 100°F (+14°).
- Coolest against normal: Seattle, 70°F (−5°).
- 17 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 33 days, Oklahoma City 33 days, Atlanta 28 days, Austin 21 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 9 days, Las Vegas 4 days, Seattle 4 days, San Diego 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Chicago 93° (record 95°), Louisville 100° (record 102°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 11 of 23 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements55 days ago, settled Sep 5, 2:19 PM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 95° | 3:49 PM | +8°normal 87° | 94° to 95°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 95° | 3:57 PM | +1°normal 94° | 95° to 96°Upset: favorite was 92° or below (32¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 85° | 12:47 PM | +8°normal 77° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (38¢)settled 7:22 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 93° | 3:58 PM | +13°normal 80° | 93° to 94°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 100° | 4:14 PM | +8°normal 92° | 99° to 100°Upset: favorite was 97° to 98° (44¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 93° | 2:39 PM | +9°normal 84° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 93° | 3:44 PM | +2°normal 91° | 93° to 94°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 97° | 3:21 PM | −2°normal 99° | 97° to 98°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 78° | 1:12 PM | +1°normal 77° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 100° | 3:48 PM | +14°normal 86° | 100° to 101°settled 2:19 PM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 91° | 11:49 AM | +1°normal 90° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (44¢)settled 7:20 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 87° | 3:58 PM | +10°normal 77° | 87° or belowUpset: favorite was 92° to 93° (42¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 88° | 2:10 PM | −2°normal 90° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 86° or below (49¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 84° | 12:49 PM | +4°normal 80° | 84° to 85°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 88° | 12:55 PM | +6°normal 82° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 91° or above (42¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 100° | 3:21 PM | +12°normal 88° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 89° | 2:43 PM | +6°normal 83° | 88° to 89°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 104° | 4:11 PM | 0°normal 104° | 104° to 105°Upset: favorite was 102° to 103° (44¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 91° | 5:37 PM | −2°normal 93° | 94° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 76° | 2:58 PM | −2°normal 78° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 80° to 81° (43¢)settled 11:18 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 72° | 2:35 PM | −3°normal 75° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (50¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 70° | 3:40 PM | −5°normal 75° | 70° to 71°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 86° | 3:18 PM | +5°normal 81° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (42¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 90° | 2:30 PM | +5°normal 85° | 90° or belowUpset: favorite was 93° to 94° (36¢)settled 7:21 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
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- Sat, Sep 19
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- Thu, Sep 17
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- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
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- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 94-95°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 94-95°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 92-93°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 98-99°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 92-93°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 90-91°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 84-85°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 70-71°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 68-69°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam22°C
- Ankara29°C
- Beijing33°C
- Buenos Aires18°C
- Busan29°C
- Cape Town20°C
- Chengdu34°C
- Chongqing34°C
- Guangzhou28°C
- Helsinki18°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul26°C
- Jeddah37°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi31°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London22°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid38°C
- Manila29°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan33°C
- Moscow21°C
- Munich30°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris28°C
- Qingdao32°C
- Sao Paulo31°C
- Seoul30°C
- Shanghai31°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv32°C
- Tokyo27°C
- Toronto25°C
- Warsaw22°C
- Wellington18°C
- Wuhan31°C
- Zhengzhou30°C