Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Aug 25, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 21 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 104°F (+13°).
- Coolest against normal: Trenton, 77°F (−6°).
- 15 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 23 days, Oklahoma City 23 days, Atlanta 18 days, Miami 18 days.
- On a run below normal: Philadelphia 6 days, Trenton 6 days, New York City 5 days, Newark 5 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Phoenix 115° (record 113°), Los Angeles 85° (record 85°), Oklahoma City 104° (record 105°), Miami 92° (record 94°), Houston 98° (record 101°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 8 of 20 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements65 days ago, settled Aug 26, 10:38 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 94° | 3:10 PM | +6°normal 88° | 94° to 95°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 103° | 4:15 PM | +7°normal 96° | 103° to 104°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 81° | 1:32 PM | +2°normal 79° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 81° | 2:42 PM | −1°normal 82° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 101° | 3:59 PM | +7°normal 94° | 102° or belowUpset: favorite was 105° to 106° (55¢)settled 7:16 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 85° | — | −1°normal 86° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (41¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 98° | 3:03 PM | +5°normal 93° | 97° to 98°✓ favorite came insettled 7:17 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 108° | 3:37 PM | +6°normal 102° | 108° to 109°Upset: favorite was 106° to 107° (50¢)settled 7:17 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 85° | 9:22 AM | +8°normal 77° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (44¢)settled 7:16 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 83° | 5:12 PM | −5°normal 88° | not settled yet |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 92° | 1:50 PM | +2°normal 90° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 82° | 5:29 PM | +3°normal 79° | 82° or belowUpset: favorite was 85° to 86° (46¢)settled 7:16 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 94° | 2:07 PM | +3°normal 91° | 94° or aboveUpset: favorite was 90° to 91° (38¢)settled 7:15 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 78° | 3:44 PM | −4°normal 82° | 78° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 81° | 2:52 PM | −3°normal 84° | not settled yet |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 104° | 3:02 PM | +13°normal 91° | 103° to 104°Upset: favorite was 101° to 102° (36¢)settled 7:17 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 80° | 5:51 PM | −5°normal 85° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (49¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 115° | 3:13 PM | +10°normal 105° | 115° to 116°Upset: favorite was 113° to 114° (54¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 101° | 3:32 PM | +6°normal 95° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:16 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 85° | 1:13 PM | +7°normal 78° | 84° to 85°settled 7:38 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 68° | 3:50 PM | −6°normal 74° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (45¢)settled 7:17 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 84° | 2:28 PM | +7°normal 77° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (36¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 77° | 5:13 PM | −6°normal 83° | not settled yet |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 85° | 3:14 PM | −2°normal 87° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (44¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 92-93°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 102-103°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 80-81°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 82-83°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 96-97°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 84-85°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 92-93°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 78-79°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 66-67°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 84-85°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam25°C
- Ankara30°C
- Beijing31°C
- Buenos Aires14°C
- Busan35°C
- Cape Town22°C
- Chengdu36°C
- Chongqing38°C
- Guangzhou33°C
- Helsinki19°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul28°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur32°C
- London24°C
- Lucknow30°C
- Madrid28°C
- Manila31°C
- Mexico City22°C
- Milan28°C
- Moscow17°C
- Munich17°C
- Panama City33°C
- Paris29°C
- Qingdao32°C
- Sao Paulo19°C
- Seoul31°C
- Shanghai31°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv33°C
- Tokyo34°C
- Toronto25°C
- Warsaw22°C
- Wellington17°C
- Wuhan37°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher