Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Central Park, Manhattan (KNYC), not LaGuardia or JFK. Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 4:20 AM EDT.
New York City so far today: the high is 51°F (hourly reading, 1:51 AM), in the 58° or below bracket. The favorite is 58° or below at 70¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late). Trading closes at 1:00 AM EDT. 6 reports from KNYC from 1:00 AM to 7:12 AM EDT, between 48°F and 51°F; the latest 48°F at 6:51 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 67° or above | 1¢ | |
| 65° to 66° | 1¢ | |
| 63° to 64° | 1¢ | |
| 61° to 62° | 5¢ | |
| 59° to 60° | 27¢ | |
| 58° or below | 70¢ | favorite, high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 6:51 AM | 48°F |
| 5:51 AM | 49°F |
| 4:51 AM | 49°F |
| 3:51 AM | 50°F |
| 2:51 AM | 50°F |
| 1:51 AM | 51°F |
Which bracket will New York City settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
Create a free account to play: calls on your 3 cities, your record beside the market's favorite and the model's.
Prices (30 min late) 30 min ago· Readings 21 min ago
High so far today
51°F
hourly reading at 1:51 AM, 6 reports so far
Latest reading
48°F
taken 6:51 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
17 h 48 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 11.3k | 461 |
| 65° to 66° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 6,427 | 737 |
| 63° to 64° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 364 | 686 |
| 61° to 62° | 5¢ | 4¢ | 5¢ | 2 × 102 | 3,600 |
| 59° to 60° | 27¢ | 26¢ | 27¢ | 9 × 4 | 5,249 |
| 58° or belowfavoritehigh so far 51° | 70¢ | 69¢ | 69¢ | 65 × 1 | 8,376 |
48°F
Favorite 45° to 46° at 71¢ · 2° to go, down
Low so far set at 6:51 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 17 h 48 min.
From KNYC's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Highest hourly reading so far at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA): 54°F at 12:51 AM.
Polymarket's highest-priced range is 58°–59° at 63¢.
Polymarket settles New York City on KLGA, not KNYC, and on the highest hourly reading, midnight to midnight local time.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KNYC) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:51 AM | 48° | METAR KNYC 311051Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 09/03 A3040 RMK AO2 SLP286 T00890028 $ | ||
| 5:51 AM | 49° | METAR KNYC 310951Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 09/03 A3038 RMK AO2 SLP280 T00940028 $ | ||
| 4:51 AM | 49° | METAR KNYC 310851Z AUTO 30005KT 10SM CLR 09/03 A3036 RMK AO2 SLP272 T00940028 53009 $ | ||
| 3:51 AM | 50° | METAR KNYC 310751Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 10/03 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP268 T01000028 $ | ||
| 2:51 AM | 50° | METAR KNYC 310651Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 10/02 A3034 RMK AO2 SLP266 T01000022 $ | ||
| 1:51 AM | 51° | 55° | METAR KNYC 310551Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 11/02 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP262 T01060022 10128 20089 52011 $ |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KNYC (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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