Kalshi's New York City market settles on the daily high at Central Park (KNYC), not LaGuardia or JFK, as the climate report CLINYC and The Weather Company publish it. Series KXHIGHNY, listed since Aug 6, 2021.
Updated Oct 31, 4:20 AM EDT: newest final official high is for Fri, Oct 30.
Central Park, Manhattan
Not LaGuardia or JFK.
1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT
Midnight to midnight EST, local standard time: 1:00 AM to 1:00 AM on New York City's clock while daylight saving is on.
Today's six brackets, in whole degrees
Since Aug 14, 2026, 21 of 77 days (27%) settled on a tail bracket: 21 below the bottom bracket and 0 above the top one. In the last 30 days: 7 of 30.
| Day | Settled on | Winning bracket | Time of high (LST) | Settled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29 | 66° | 66° or belowbottom tail | 3:29 PM | Oct 30, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Wed, Oct 28 | 61° | 60° to 61° | 2:54 PM | Oct 29, 7:18 AM EDT |
| Tue, Oct 27 | 61° | 60° to 61° | 12:27 AM | Oct 28, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 69° | 68° to 69° | 2:34 PM | Oct 27, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 64° | 64° to 65° | 3:19 PM | Oct 26, 7:18 AM EDT |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 60° | 59° to 60° | 3:56 PM | Oct 25, 7:18 AM EDT |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 59° | 59° to 60° | 1:54 PM | Oct 24, 7:08 AM EDT |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 67° | 67° to 68° | 2:49 PM | Oct 23, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 62° | 61° to 62° | 3:15 PM | Oct 22, 7:18 AM EDT |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 67° | 67° to 68° | 3:12 PM | Oct 21, 7:08 AM EDT |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 62° | 62° to 63° | 3:43 PM | Oct 20, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Sun, Oct 18 | 57° | 56° to 57° | 4:00 PM | Oct 19, 7:08 AM EDT |
| Sat, Oct 17 | 62° | 62° to 63° | 12:08 AM | Oct 18, 7:18 AM EDT |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 72° | 74° or belowbottom tail | 5:57 PM | Oct 17, 7:18 AM EDT |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 64° | 64° to 65° | 2:05 PM | Oct 16, 7:08 AM EDT |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 77° | 77° or belowbottom tail | 2:59 PM | Oct 15, 7:08 AM EDT |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 71° | 71° to 72° | 9:50 PM | Oct 14, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Mon, Oct 12 | 70° | 69° to 70° | 2:11 PM | Oct 13, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Sun, Oct 11 | 60° | 61° or belowbottom tail | 7:41 AM | Oct 12, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Sat, Oct 10 | 69° | 68° to 69° | 1:58 PM | Oct 11, 7:08 AM EDT |
| Fri, Oct 9 | 70° | 69° to 70° | 3:30 PM | Oct 10, 7:18 AM EDT |
| Thu, Oct 8 | 73° | 72° to 73° | 2:51 PM | Oct 9, 7:18 AM EDT |
| Wed, Oct 7 | 65° | 65° or belowbottom tail | 2:09 PM | Oct 8, 7:19 AM EDT |
| Tue, Oct 6 | 60° | 62° or belowbottom tail | 4:36 PM | Oct 7, 7:09 AM EDT |
| Mon, Oct 5 | 68° | 68° to 69° | 12:39 PM | Oct 6, 7:10 AM EDT |
| Sun, Oct 4 | 62° | 62° or belowbottom tail | 12:00 PM | Oct 5, 7:10 AM EDT |
| Sat, Oct 3 | 70° | 70° to 71° | 2:23 PM | Oct 4, 7:10 AM EDT |
| Fri, Oct 2 | 83° | 83° to 84° | 4:14 PM | Oct 3, 7:10 AM EDT |
| Thu, Oct 1 | 76° | 75° to 76° | 1:03 PM | Oct 2, 7:19 AM EDT |
| Wed, Sep 30 | 74° | 74° to 75° | 3:31 PM | Oct 1, 7:10 AM EDT |
Source: Each market's result, settlement value and time: Kalshi's public market data; Time of the high: NWS climate reports for KNYC, via IEM
Over 365 days (Oct 31, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026), the median time of the official high was 2:54 PM local standard time, and half the highs came between 1:15 PM and 4:11 PM. Over the last 60 days the median was 2:51 PM.
Central Park's high came before 1 AM standard time (1 to 2 AM daylight time) on 16 of 365 days (4%): the climate day's warmest minutes were its first.
KNYC report times, standard time.
Source: NWS climate reports for KNYC, via IEM; IEM table of NWS climate reports
Kalshi's New York City market settles on Central Park (KNYC) and nothing else. LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) and JFK International Airport (KJFK) publish their own climate reports, with their own daily high, which doesn't count.
LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) against Central Park, 7 km apart
Over 365 days (Oct 21, 2025 to Oct 20, 2026), the two official highs were the same whole degree on 83 of 365 days (23%). LaGuardia was warmer on 211 and cooler on 71, +0.8°F on average, and 2°F or more apart (a bracket's width) on 157.
Widest gaps: Jun 12, 2026, KLGA 98° and KNYC 90°; Apr 4, 2026, KLGA 68° and KNYC 73°.
JFK International Airport (KJFK) against Central Park, 24 km apart
Over 365 days (Oct 21, 2025 to Oct 20, 2026), the two official highs were the same whole degree on 64 of 365 days (18%). JFK was warmer on 155 and cooler on 146, −0.5°F on average, and 2°F or more apart (a bracket's width) on 193.
Widest gaps: Jun 12, 2026, KJFK 96° and KNYC 90°; Mar 10, 2026, KJFK 64° and KNYC 80°.
Source: NWS climate reports for KLGA (CLILGA), via IEM; NWS climate reports for KJFK (CLIJFK), via IEM; NWS climate reports for KNYC, via IEM
Polymarket's New York City market settles on LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), not Central Park (KNYC): the highest of its hourly readings in whole °F, over the local calendar day, in 2°F ranges. The two exchanges can settle the same day differently.
Kalshi vs Polymarket in New York City: the stations and the last 30 days side by side
On 183 days from May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the NWS's afternoon preliminary report (usually "as of 4 PM" local time) had the same high as the final report on 156 of 183 days (85%). The final report came in higher on 27 and never lower.
Every one of those 27 higher finals put the high after the 4 PM cutoff.
Source: Every NWS climate report issued for KNYC (CLINYC), via IEM's text archive
The normal high for Oct 31 is 59°F and the record high is 81°F. The normal falls to 49°F by Nov 30.
365 final highs at KNYC, Oct 31, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, against the normal and record each report printed.
Source: NWS climate reports for KNYC, via IEM; NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals
Climate-report stations near Central Park, and how their official highs ran against it. None settles the New York City market.
Other reporting stations within 25 km (METARs only, no climate report): New York/Downtown (KJRB, 10 km), Teterboro Arpt (KTEB, 11 km).
Straight-line distances from KNYC; snapshot Oct 21, 2026.
Source: IEM's list of NWS climate-report sites; aviationweather.gov station information
Central Park, Manhattan (KNYC), the station named by the climate-report code CLINYC in the market's rules. Not LaGuardia or JFK.
Midnight to midnight EST, local standard time. During daylight saving that is 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT.
Trading closes at 1:00 AM EDT after the day ends. Over the last 77 settled days the result posted a median of 6.2 hours after close.
58° or below, 59° to 60°, 61° to 62°, 63° to 64°, 65° to 66°, 67° or above, compared with Central Park's published whole-degree high. The two tails are strict.
On 21 of 77 settled days from Aug 14, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026 (27%): 21 on the bottom tail and 0 on the top tail.
Over 365 days to Oct 30, 2026, the median time of the official high at KNYC was 2:54 PM local standard time. On 16 of those days it came before 1 AM standard time.
From May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the afternoon preliminary report's high matched the final report's on 156 of 183 days. The final was higher on 27 and lower on 0.
No. Only Central Park (KNYC) does. Over 365 days to Oct 20, 2026, KLGA's official high was the same whole degree as KNYC's on 83 days and 2°F or more apart on 157.
The rules every city shares · Reading CLINYC · The Aug 14, 2026 change
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.