Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Oct 13, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Louisville, 90°F (+18°).
  • Coolest against normal: Las Vegas, 64°F (−19°).
  • 17 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Miami 10 days, Oklahoma City 10 days, Austin 9 days, Dallas 9 days.
  • On a run below normal: Las Vegas 3 days, Los Angeles 3 days, Phoenix 3 days, San Diego 3 days.
  • Within 3° of the record for the date: Louisville 90° (record 88°), Atlanta 87° (record 86°), Oklahoma City 91° (record 90°), New Orleans 89° (record 89°), Dallas 95° (record 97°).
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 16 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements16 days ago, settled Oct 14, 10:51 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL87°+11°normal 76°86° to 87°✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS96°+12°normal 84°95° to 96°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS62°−1°normal 63°62° to 63°✓ favorite came in
ChicagoMidway · KMDW79°+14°normal 65°81° or below✓ favorite came in
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW95°+15°normal 80°95° to 96°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (59¢)
DenverDenver International · KDEN66°0°normal 66°66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 64° to 65° (34¢)
HoustonHobby · KHOU92°+9°normal 83°91° to 92°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS64°−19°normal 83°64° to 65°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX73°−2°normal 75°72° to 73°✓ favorite came in
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF90°+18°normal 72°90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (58¢)
MiamiMiami International · KMIA89°+2°normal 87°89° to 90°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP57°−3°normal 60°63° or below✓ favorite came in
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY89°+7°normal 82°88° to 89°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC71°+5°normal 66°71° to 72°✓ favorite came in
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR73°+6°normal 67°73° to 74°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC91°+17°normal 74°91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (54¢)
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL81°+13°normal 68°80° to 81°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX78°−12°normal 90°77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (50¢)
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT92°+9°normal 83°92° or belowUpset: favorite was 93° to 94° (59¢)
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN72°−3°normal 75°71° to 72°Upset: favorite was 73° to 74° (63¢)
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO74°+1°normal 73°74° to 75°✓ favorite came in
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA62°+1°normal 61°62° to 63°Upset: favorite was 60° to 61° (42¢)
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN77°+10°normal 67°77° to 78°✓ favorite came in
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA82°+11°normal 71°82° to 83°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Tue, Oct 13

Every settled day

Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta86-87°FKATLholds Kalshi's high
Austin94-95°FKAUScame out apart
Chicago78-79°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas94-95°FKDALholds Kalshi's high
Denver64-65°FKBKFcame out apart
Houston92-93°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles72-73°FKLAXholds Kalshi's high
Miami88-89°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City72-73°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco74-75°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle60-61°FKSEAcame out apart