Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Sep 12, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 106°F (+21°).
- Coolest against normal: Seattle, 66°F (−7°).
- 16 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 41 days, Austin 29 days, Minneapolis 20 days, Phoenix 8 days.
- On a run below normal: Seattle 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Oklahoma City 106° (record 102°), Austin 101° (record 102°), Dallas 102° (record 103°), Miami 93° (record 94°), Houston 97° (record 99°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 10 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements47 days ago, settled Sep 13, 10:21 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 85° | 5:32 PM | 0°normal 85° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (40¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 101° | 2:57 PM | +9°normal 92° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 103° to 104° (65¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 71° | 2:39 PM | −4°normal 75° | 72° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 88° | 2:31 PM | +10°normal 78° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (52¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 102° | 3:39 PM | +12°normal 90° | 101° to 102°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 79° | — | −2°normal 81° | 79° or belowUpset: favorite was 82° to 83° (58¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 97° | 2:30 PM | +7°normal 90° | 97° to 98°Upset: favorite was 95° to 96° (55¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 102° | 3:47 PM | +5°normal 97° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 103° to 104° (66¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 82° | 10:21 AM | +5°normal 77° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (45¢)settled 7:21 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 88° | 4:13 PM | +4°normal 84° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (43¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 93° | 12:53 PM | +4°normal 89° | 92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (47¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 76° | 3:29 PM | +1°normal 75° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 89° | 11:39 AM | 0°normal 89° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 78° | 1:08 PM | 0°normal 78° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 80° | 1:37 PM | +1°normal 79° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (50¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 106° | 3:27 PM | +21°normal 85° | 102° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 83° | 3:24 PM | +3°normal 80° | 83° to 84°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 104° | 2:00 PM | +2°normal 102° | 103° to 104°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 100° | 5:03 PM | +9°normal 91° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 79° | 11:52 AM | +1°normal 78° | 79° or belowUpset: favorite was 80° to 81° (36¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 71° | 12:52 PM | −4°normal 75° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 66° | 4:16 PM | −7°normal 73° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (36¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 81° | 3:31 PM | +2°normal 79° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (52¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 81° | 3:59 PM | −1°normal 82° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (45¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
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- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
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- Sat, Aug 29
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- Wed, Aug 26
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 84-85°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 100-101°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 86-87°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 80-81°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 96-97°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 80-81°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 92-93°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 78-79°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 70-71°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam22°C
- Ankara32°C
- Beijing28°C
- Buenos Aires12°C
- Busan30°C
- Cape Town19°C
- Chengdu22°C
- Chongqing29°C
- Guangzhou32°C
- Helsinki17°C
- Hong Kong33°C
- Istanbul25°C
- Jeddah37°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi36°C or higher
- Kuala Lumpur32°C
- London23°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid33°C
- Manila31°C
- Mexico City26°C or higher
- Milan26°C
- Moscow17°C
- Munich23°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris26°C
- Qingdao27°C
- Sao Paulo20°C
- Seoul23°C
- Shanghai28°C
- Shenzhen34°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv32°C
- Tokyo23°C
- Toronto25°C
- Warsaw19°C
- Wellington14°C
- Wuhan31°C
- Zhengzhou27°C