Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Aug 15, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 20 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 102°F (+9°).
- Coolest against normal: Las Vegas, 89°F (−14°).
- 15 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 13 days, Oklahoma City 13 days, Philadelphia 10 days, Atlanta 8 days.
- On a run below normal: Las Vegas 5 days, Chicago 3 days, San Francisco 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Austin 103° (record 105°).
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements75 days ago, settled Aug 16, 3:20 PM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 96° | 4:33 PM | +7°normal 89° | 95° to 96°settled 12:15 PM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 103° | 3:45 PM | +5°normal 98° | 102° to 103°settled 12:11 PM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 76° | 3:20 PM | −5°normal 81° | 77° or belowsettled 12:28 PM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 81° | 5:32 PM | −2°normal 83° | 81° to 82°settled 12:11 PM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 102° | 3:26 PM | +6°normal 96° | 101° to 102°settled 12:14 PM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 82° | 12:19 PM | −6°normal 88° | 81° to 82°settled 12:11 PM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 96° | 3:17 PM | +2°normal 94° | 95° to 96°settled 12:15 PM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 89° | 6:17 PM | −14°normal 103° | 91° or belowsettled 12:11 PM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 77° | 1:30 PM | 0°normal 77° | 76° to 77°settled 12:20 PM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 96° | 4:08 PM | +7°normal 89° | not settled yet |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 93° | 4:00 PM | +2°normal 91° | 92° to 93°settled 12:26 PM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 82° | 3:44 PM | +1°normal 81° | 82° to 83°settled 12:14 PM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 96° | 4:10 PM | +4°normal 92° | 95° to 96°settled 12:12 PM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 83° | 1:51 PM | −1°normal 84° | 82° to 83°settled 12:25 PM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 85° | 4:55 PM | 0°normal 85° | not settled yet |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 102° | 4:10 PM | +9°normal 93° | 101° to 102°settled 12:15 PM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 90° | 2:52 PM | +4°normal 86° | 89° to 90°settled 12:12 PM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 107° | 3:15 PM | +2°normal 105° | 106° to 107°settled 12:12 PM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 100° | 4:37 PM | +3°normal 97° | 99° to 100°settled 12:14 PM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 78° | 1:50 PM | +1°normal 77° | not settled yet |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 69° | 2:32 PM | −4°normal 73° | 68° to 69°settled 12:11 PM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 75° | 5:18 PM | −3°normal 78° | 78° or belowsettled 12:12 PM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 85° | 2:51 PM | +1°normal 84° | not settled yet |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 89° | 1:29 PM | +1°normal 88° | 89° to 90°settled 12:28 PM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
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The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 94-95°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 102-103°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 78-79°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 82-83°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 96-97°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 92-93°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 84-85°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 68-69°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 74-75°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam23°C
- Ankara26°C
- Beijing29°C
- Buenos Aires16°C
- Busan32°C
- Cape Town17°C
- Chengdu37°C
- Chongqing36°C
- Guangzhou35°C
- Helsinki23°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul27°C
- Jeddah40°C or higher
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi32°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London26°C
- Lucknow35°C
- Madrid30°C or below
- Manila31°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan34°C
- Moscow20°C
- Munich35°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris31°C
- Qingdao31°C
- Sao Paulo22°C
- Seoul28°C
- Shanghai31°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv33°C
- Tokyo29°C
- Toronto24°C
- Warsaw30°C
- Wellington13°C
- Wuhan28°C
- Zhengzhou31°C