Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Sep 7, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: San Diego, 95°F (+17°).
  • Coolest against normal: Seattle, 70°F (−4°).
  • 16 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Dallas 36 days, Oklahoma City 36 days, Austin 24 days, Minneapolis 15 days.
  • On a run below normal: Las Vegas 7 days, New York City 3 days.
  • Within 3° of the record for the date: San Diego 95° (record 92°), Oklahoma City 102° (record 105°).
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 16 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements52 days ago, settled Sep 8, 10:29 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL83°−3°normal 86°83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (36¢)
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS101°+8°normal 93°101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (66¢)
BostonLogan · KBOS82°+6°normal 76°81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (52¢)
ChicagoMidway · KMDW80°+1°normal 79°80° to 81°✓ favorite came in
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW102°+11°normal 91°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN90°+7°normal 83°90° to 91°✓ favorite came in
HoustonHobby · KHOU95°+4°normal 91°95° to 96°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS96°−2°normal 98°95° to 96°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX85°+8°normal 77°84° or above✓ favorite came in
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF87°+2°normal 85°87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (60¢)
MiamiMiami International · KMIA92°+2°normal 90°92° to 93°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP85°+9°normal 76°85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (39¢)
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY91°+1°normal 90°90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 94° to 95° (54¢)
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC78°−1°normal 79°77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (61¢)
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR81°0°normal 81°80° to 81°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC102°+15°normal 87°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL82°0°normal 82°82° to 83°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX106°+3°normal 103°106° to 107°✓ favorite came in
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT98°+6°normal 92°98° to 99°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN95°+17°normal 78°90° or aboveUpset: favorite was 84° to 85° (20¢)
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO83°+8°normal 75°82° or above✓ favorite came in
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA70°−4°normal 74°70° to 71°✓ favorite came in
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN79°−1°normal 80°79° to 80°✓ favorite came in
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA84°0°normal 84°83° to 84°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Mon, Sep 7

Every settled day

Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta82-83°FKATLholds Kalshi's high
Austin100-101°FKAUSholds Kalshi's high
Chicago80-81°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas100-101°FKDALcame out apart
Denver90-91°FKBKFholds Kalshi's high
Houston94-95°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles84-85°FKLAXholds Kalshi's high
Miami90-91°FKMIAcame out apart
New York City78-79°FKLGAholds Kalshi's high
San Francisco80-81°FKSFOcame out apart
Seattle70-71°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high