Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Wed, Sep 30, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Louisville, 88°F (+11°).
- Coolest against normal: Phoenix, 86°F (−10°).
- 18 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 59 days, Austin 47 days, Los Angeles 24 days, Oklahoma City 20 days.
- On a run below normal: Seattle 13 days, Boston 12 days, Denver 3 days, Phoenix 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Austin 98° (record 97°), New Orleans 92° (record 93°), San Antonio 95° (record 96°), Houston 93° (record 95°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 12 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements29 days ago, settled Oct 1, 10:14 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 87° | 3:33 PM | +7°normal 80° | 87° to 88°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 98° | 2:28 PM | +10°normal 88° | 97° to 98°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 66° | 6:53 PM | −2°normal 68° | 68° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 70° | 1:15 AM | −1°normal 71° | 69° to 70°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 91° | 12:12 PM | +7°normal 84° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (48¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 64° | 1:50 PM | −9°normal 73° | 63° to 64°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 93° | 2:21 PM | +6°normal 87° | 93° to 94°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (53¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 93° | 4:00 PM | +4°normal 89° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 81° | 12:28 PM | +6°normal 75° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 88° | 4:17 PM | +11°normal 77° | 88° to 89°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 85° | 9:38 AM | −3°normal 88° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (43¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 72° | 5:30 PM | +5°normal 67° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (41¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 92° | 3:07 PM | +7°normal 85° | 92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (61¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 74° | 3:31 PM | +3°normal 71° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (43¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 79° | 3:14 PM | +7°normal 72° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (50¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 86° | 1:06 PM | +7°normal 79° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 82° or below (30¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 77° | 4:27 PM | +3°normal 74° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (52¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 86° | 3:19 PM | −10°normal 96° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 95° | 4:20 PM | +8°normal 87° | 94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (38¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 77° | 12:14 PM | +1°normal 76° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 78° | 2:08 PM | +3°normal 75° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 65° | 3:23 PM | −2°normal 67° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 76° | 2:34 PM | +4°normal 72° | 75° to 76°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (25¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 80° | 2:17 PM | +5°normal 75° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (54¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 86-87°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 94-95°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 70-71°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 90-91°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 62-63°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 92-93°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 80-81°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 84-85°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 72-73°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 76-77°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 64-65°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam23°C
- Ankara16°C
- Beijing20°C
- Buenos Aires17°C
- Busan27°C
- Cape Town33°C
- Chengdu26°C
- Chongqing24°C
- Guangzhou37°C
- Helsinki16°C
- Hong Kong34°C
- Istanbul21°C
- Jeddah35°C
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London24°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid29°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan24°C
- Moscow17°C
- Munich25°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris24°C
- Qingdao26°C
- Sao Paulo32°C
- Seoul25°C
- Shanghai24°C
- Shenzhen33°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv29°C
- Tokyo20°C
- Toronto24°C
- Warsaw21°C
- Wellington16°C
- Wuhan23°C
- Zhengzhou25°C