Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Louis Armstrong New Orleans International Airport (KMSY). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 CDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 5:20 AM CDT.
New Orleans so far today: the high is 74°F (hourly reading, 1:53 AM), in the 78° or below bracket. The favorite is 81° to 82° at 50¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 7° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM CDT. 5 reports from KMSY from 1:00 AM to 6:14 AM CDT, between 71°F and 74°F; the latest 71°F at 5:53 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 87° or above | 1¢ | |
| 85° to 86° | 1¢ | |
| 83° to 84° | 10¢ | |
| 81° to 82° | 50¢ | favorite |
| 79° to 80° | 37¢ | |
| 78° or below | 5¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 5:53 AM | 71°F |
| 4:53 AM | 72°F |
| 3:53 AM | 72°F |
| 2:53 AM | 72°F |
| 1:53 AM | 74°F |
Which bracket will New Orleans settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
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Prices (30 min late) 32 min ago· Readings 21 min ago
High so far today
74°F
hourly reading at 1:53 AM, 5 reports so far
Latest reading
71°F
taken 5:53 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
18 h 46 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 657 | 98 |
| 85° to 86° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 408 | 206 |
| 83° to 84° | 10¢ | 9¢ | 9¢ | 25 × 26 | 492 |
| 81° to 82°favorite | 51¢ | 48¢ | 48¢ | 12 × 175 | 456 |
| 79° to 80° | 38¢ | 35¢ | 36¢ | 41 × 74 | 716 |
| 78° or belowhigh so far 74° | 6¢ | 4¢ | 6¢ | 102 × 168 | 863 |
71°F
Favorite 69° to 70° at 66¢ · 1° to go, down
Low so far set at 5:53 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 18 h 46 min.
From KMSY's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KMSY) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:53 AM | 71° | METAR KMSY 311053Z 06005KT 10SM FEW060 BKN250 22/19 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP189 T02170189 | ||
| 4:53 AM | 72° | METAR KMSY 310953Z 06004KT 10SM BKN045 BKN060 BKN250 22/19 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP189 T02220194 | ||
| 3:53 AM | 72° | METAR KMSY 310853Z 05007KT 10SM BKN048 OVC060 22/19 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP185 T02220194 55007 | ||
| 2:53 AM | 72° | METAR KMSY 310753Z 05004KT 10SM BKN043 22/19 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP183 T02220189 | ||
| 1:53 AM | 74° | METAR KMSY 310653Z 08007KT 10SM BKN045 BKN250 23/18 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP189 T02330183 |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KMSY (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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