Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Wed, Sep 9, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Los Angeles, 99°F (+22°).
- Coolest against normal: Denver, 82°F (−1°).
- 21 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 38 days, Oklahoma City 38 days, Austin 26 days, Minneapolis 17 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Oklahoma City 103° (record 99°), San Francisco 94° (record 92°), Dallas 101° (record 101°), San Diego 94° (record 96°), Los Angeles 99° (record 102°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 14 of 23 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements50 days ago, settled Sep 10, 10:11 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 89° | 3:05 PM | +3°normal 86° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (57¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 100° | 2:55 PM | +8°normal 92° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 76° | 4:41 PM | 0°normal 76° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 80° to 81° (37¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 80° | 5:12 PM | +1°normal 79° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 101° | 4:06 PM | +10°normal 91° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 82° | 3:31 PM | −1°normal 83° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 91° | 3:31 PM | 0°normal 91° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (48¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 104° | 4:40 PM | +6°normal 98° | 103° to 104°Upset: favorite was 105° to 106° (65¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 99° | 10:34 AM | +22°normal 77° | 93° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 95° | 3:03 PM | +10°normal 85° | 94° to 95°settled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 2:55 PM | +1°normal 89° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (65¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 81° | 2:44 PM | +5°normal 76° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 90° | 1:39 PM | +1°normal 89° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 82° | 1:16 PM | +3°normal 79° | 83° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 87° | 2:24 PM | +7°normal 80° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (41¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 103° | 3:49 PM | +17°normal 86° | 103° to 104°Upset: favorite was 101° to 102° (51¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 89° | 3:52 PM | +8°normal 81° | 88° to 89°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 107° | 4:06 PM | +4°normal 103° | 106° to 107°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 98° | 3:04 PM | +6°normal 92° | 97° to 98°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 94° | 10:10 AM | +16°normal 78° | 94° or aboveUpset: favorite was 88° to 89° (48¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 94° | 2:49 PM | +19°normal 75° | 92° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 78° | 5:20 PM | +4°normal 74° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 87° | 2:35 PM | +7°normal 80° | 86° to 87°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 89° | 3:13 PM | +6°normal 83° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (47¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 88-89°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 98-99°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 78-79°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 82-83°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 90-91°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 96°F or higher | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 82-83°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 92-93°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 76-77°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam18°C
- Ankara27°C
- Beijing27°C
- Buenos Aires20°C
- Busan26°C
- Cape Town17°C or below
- Chengdu27°C
- Chongqing36°C
- Guangzhou35°C
- Helsinki18°C
- Hong Kong32°C
- Istanbul25°C
- Jeddah38°C
- Jinan24°C
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London19°C
- Lucknow34°C
- Madrid27°C
- Manila30°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan24°C
- Moscow21°C
- Munich22°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris22°C
- Qingdao26°C
- Sao Paulo22°C
- Seoul26°C
- Shanghai28°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv34°C
- Tokyo31°C
- Toronto24°C
- Warsaw30°C
- Wellington14°C
- Wuhan26°C or below
- Zhengzhou22°C or below