Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Thu, Aug 27, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 23 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Los Angeles, 90°F (+13°).
- Coolest against normal: New York City, 77°F (−5°).
- 15 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 25 days, Oklahoma City 25 days, Atlanta 20 days, Miami 20 days.
- On a run below normal: Trenton 8 days, New York City 7 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Las Vegas 111° (record 110°), Los Angeles 90° (record 91°), Phoenix 113° (record 114°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 6 of 21 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements63 days ago, settled Aug 28, 11:19 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 89° | 3:43 PM | +1°normal 88° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (35¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 104° | 2:05 PM | +8°normal 96° | 103° to 104°Upset: favorite was 101° to 102° (42¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 85° | 1:57 PM | +6°normal 79° | 84° to 85°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 81° | 11:39 AM | 0°normal 81° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (56¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 101° | 3:28 PM | +7°normal 94° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (47¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 92° | 1:46 PM | +6°normal 86° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (45¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 97° | 5:05 PM | +4°normal 93° | 96° to 97°Upset: favorite was 95° or below (54¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 111° | 1:42 PM | +10°normal 101° | 110° to 111°Upset: favorite was 108° to 109° (50¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 90° | 1:00 PM | +13°normal 77° | 90° or aboveUpset: favorite was 86° to 87° (49¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 88° | 4:31 PM | 0°normal 88° | not settled yet |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 93° | 2:07 PM | +3°normal 90° | 93° to 94°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (57¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 83° | 2:33 PM | +4°normal 79° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 87° | 4:27 PM | −4°normal 91° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 85° or below (35¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 77° | 2:50 PM | −5°normal 82° | 79° or belowUpset: favorite was 80° to 81° (46¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 80° | 11:03 AM | −3°normal 83° | 81° or belowsettled 7:14 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 95° | 5:04 PM | +5°normal 90° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 83° | 10:23 AM | −2°normal 85° | 83° or belowUpset: favorite was 86° to 87° (40¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 113° | 3:34 PM | +8°normal 105° | 112° to 113°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 102° | 2:59 PM | +7°normal 95° | 101° to 102°✓ favorite came insettled 7:51 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 83° | 2:48 PM | +5°normal 78° | 83° or belowUpset: favorite was 88° to 89° (41¢)settled 8:19 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 73° | 1:56 PM | −1°normal 74° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 74° | 3:42 PM | −2°normal 76° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (40¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 80° | 9:51 AM | −3°normal 83° | 81° or belowsettled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 88° | 2:47 PM | +2°normal 86° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (46¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
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- Mon, Aug 31
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 88-89°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 102-103°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 82-83°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 90-91°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 96-97°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 88-89°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 92-93°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 76-77°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 72-73°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 72-73°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam27°C
- Ankara33°C
- Beijing29°C
- Buenos Aires16°C
- Busan33°C
- Cape Town25°C or higher
- Chengdu36°C
- Chongqing38°C
- Guangzhou31°C
- Helsinki22°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul27°C
- Jeddah38°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi32°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London25°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid23°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan30°C
- Moscow17°C
- Munich30°C
- Panama City33°C
- Paris27°C
- Qingdao31°C
- Sao Paulo27°C
- Seoul30°C
- Shanghai32°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv33°C
- Tokyo30°C
- Toronto26°C
- Warsaw24°C
- Wellington14°C
- Wuhan39°C
- Zhengzhou29°C