Polymarket's Istanbul market settles on LTFM: the highest routine reading of the local day, midnight to midnight, in whole °C.
High so far · LTFM
15°C
Reported at 11:50 local, in whole degrees.
Local time 14:18; the day ends at midnight. 26 routine reports so far.
The market
Favorite: 15°C at 98¢
$19,382 traded · prices 30 minutes late on the free view.
Which range will Istanbul settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Polymarket. It counts on the weekly leaderboard: a right call scores 100 minus its price when you called it.
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| Range | Price | The high so far |
|---|---|---|
| 19° or above | <1¢ | 4° to go |
| 18° | <1¢ | 3° to go |
| 17° | <1¢ | 2° to go |
| 16° | 2¢ | 1° to go |
| 15°favorite | 98¢ | in it now |
| 14° | <1¢ | |
| 13° | <1¢ | |
| 12° | <1¢ | |
| 11° | <1¢ | |
| 10° | <1¢ | |
| 9° or below | <1¢ |
Each share of the range the day's reading lands in pays $1. The price is the ask, else the last trade.
From aviationweather.gov. Special reports don't count; a reading in tenths rounds to the nearest whole degree, a half up.
Every world city · How Polymarket's markets settle · The day in Istanbul's clock
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.