Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Sep 22, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Austin, 100°F (+11°).
- Coolest against normal: Washington DC, 65°F (−14°).
- 11 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 51 days, Austin 39 days, Los Angeles 16 days, Oklahoma City 12 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 8 days, Chicago 5 days, Minneapolis 5 days, Seattle 5 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Austin 100° (record 103°), Houston 96° (record 99°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 9 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements37 days ago, settled Sep 23, 10:15 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 86° | 3:09 PM | +4°normal 82° | 86° or belowUpset: favorite was 89° to 90° (43¢)settled 10:13 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 100° | 3:14 PM | +11°normal 89° | 99° to 100°Upset: favorite was 97° to 98° (45¢)settled 9:11 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 63° | — | −8°normal 71° | 62° to 63°✓ favorite came insettled 10:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 64° | 8:02 PM | −10°normal 74° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 62° to 63° (60¢)settled 9:11 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 96° | 4:32 PM | +9°normal 87° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 9:13 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 83° | 2:20 PM | +6°normal 77° | 83° to 84°✓ favorite came insettled 8:11 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 96° | 4:25 PM | +8°normal 88° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 9:14 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 89° | 4:23 PM | −3°normal 92° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (51¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 77° | 11:12 AM | +1°normal 76° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 67° | 1:59 PM | −13°normal 80° | 74° or below✓ favorite came insettled 10:15 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 89° | 2:25 PM | 0°normal 89° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (45¢)settled 10:11 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 67° | 3:37 PM | −4°normal 71° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 64° to 65° (50¢)settled 9:13 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 91° | 3:13 PM | +4°normal 87° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (53¢)settled 9:12 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 68° | 3:01 PM | −6°normal 74° | 67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (46¢)settled 10:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 69° | 2:52 PM | −7°normal 76° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (52¢)settled 10:14 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 89° | 3:03 PM | +7°normal 82° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (43¢)settled 9:14 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 66° | 1:39 PM | −11°normal 77° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 64° to 65° (64¢)settled 10:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 100° | 3:37 PM | +1°normal 99° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 97° | 5:00 PM | +8°normal 89° | 97° to 98°Upset: favorite was 95° to 96° (45¢)settled 9:13 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 79° | 12:35 PM | +2°normal 77° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 67° | 1:09 PM | −8°normal 75° | 67° or belowUpset: favorite was 68° to 69° (40¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 68° | 3:44 PM | −2°normal 70° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (43¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 65° | 3:35 PM | −10°normal 75° | 65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 63° to 64° (46¢)settled 10:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 65° | 3:07 AM | −14°normal 79° | 65° or below✓ favorite came insettled 10:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 86-87°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 98-99°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 62-63°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 96-97°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 84-85°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 96-97°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 68-69°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 66-67°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 68-69°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam19°C
- Ankara26°C
- Beijing30°C
- Buenos Aires14°C
- Busan28°C
- Cape Town32°C
- Chengdu26°C
- Chongqing22°C
- Guangzhou34°C
- Helsinki15°C
- Hong Kong30°C
- Istanbul23°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi39°C
- Kuala Lumpur31°C
- London25°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid34°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan25°C
- Moscow16°C
- Munich17°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris24°C
- Qingdao31°C
- Sao Paulo25°C
- Seoul28°C
- Shanghai28°C
- Shenzhen31°C
- Singapore31°C
- Tel Aviv30°C
- Tokyo30°C
- Toronto17°C
- Warsaw17°C
- Wellington14°C
- Wuhan24°C
- Zhengzhou29°C