Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Wed, Sep 2, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Chicago, 96°F (+16°).
- Coolest against normal: New York City, 71°F (−10°).
- 12 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 31 days, Oklahoma City 31 days, Atlanta 26 days, San Antonio 25 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 7 days, Boston 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Atlanta 95° (record 97°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 11 of 23 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements57 days ago, settled Sep 3, 10:15 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 95° | 4:43 PM | +8°normal 87° | 95° to 96°Upset: favorite was 97° to 98° (58¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 101° | 4:09 PM | +7°normal 94° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 72° | 2:11 PM | −6°normal 78° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 96° | 3:09 PM | +16°normal 80° | 96° to 97°Upset: favorite was 94° to 95° (46¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 100° | 4:00 PM | +8°normal 92° | 100° to 101°Upset: favorite was 98° to 99° (47¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 88° | 3:53 PM | +3°normal 85° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (53¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 96° | 2:11 PM | +4°normal 92° | 95° to 96°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (27¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 95° | 3:00 PM | −5°normal 100° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 77° | 2:40 PM | 0°normal 77° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 98° | 3:48 PM | +12°normal 86° | 98° to 99°settled 7:14 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 12:41 PM | 0°normal 90° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:20 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 89° | 4:39 PM | +11°normal 78° | 89° or aboveUpset: favorite was 85° to 86° (37¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 91° | 1:07 PM | +1°normal 90° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (58¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 71° | 1:38 PM | −10°normal 81° | 74° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:20 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 73° | 1:14 PM | −9°normal 82° | 76° or belowUpset: favorite was 81° to 82° (49¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 100° | 4:40 PM | +12°normal 88° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 77° | 12:34 PM | −6°normal 83° | 81° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 104° | 4:02 PM | 0°normal 104° | 104° to 105°Upset: favorite was 102° to 103° (46¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 100° | 3:56 PM | +7°normal 93° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 76° | 2:50 PM | −2°normal 78° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 80° to 81° (41¢)settled 7:15 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 73° | 3:02 PM | −2°normal 75° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 70° | 11:02 AM | −5°normal 75° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (34¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 72° | 4:09 PM | −9°normal 81° | 77° or belowUpset: favorite was 80° to 81° (49¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 91° | 12:35 PM | +6°normal 85° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 94-95°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 100-101°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 94-95°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 88-89°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 94-95°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 74-75°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 72-73°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 68-69°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam22°C
- Ankara31°C
- Beijing31°C
- Buenos Aires24°C
- Busan32°C
- Cape Town19°C
- Chengdu33°C
- Chongqing33°C
- Guangzhou30°C
- Helsinki20°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul26°C
- Jeddah37°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London21°C
- Lucknow30°C
- Madrid36°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City26°C or higher
- Milan30°C
- Moscow20°C
- Munich25°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris26°C
- Qingdao29°C
- Sao Paulo21°C
- Seoul28°C
- Shanghai30°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv33°C
- Tokyo31°C
- Toronto28°C
- Warsaw22°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan32°C
- Zhengzhou30°C