Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Sep 27, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 93°F (+13°).
  • Coolest against normal: Washington DC, 66°F (−11°).
  • 12 of 23 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Dallas 56 days, Austin 44 days, Los Angeles 21 days, Oklahoma City 17 days.
  • On a run below normal: Seattle 10 days, Boston 9 days, New York City 9 days, Newark 9 days.
  • Within 3° of the record for the date: Oklahoma City 93° (record 96°).
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 11 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements32 days ago, settled Sep 28, 10:12 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL81°0°normal 81°80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (56¢)
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS98°+10°normal 88°98° to 99°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS60°−9°normal 69°61° or belowUpset: favorite was 62° to 63° (49¢)
ChicagoMidway · KMDW72°0°normal 72°71° to 72°✓ favorite came in
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW96°+11°normal 85°96° to 97°Upset: favorite was 94° to 95° (39¢)
DenverDenver International · KDEN83°+8°normal 75°82° to 83°✓ favorite came in
HoustonHobby · KHOU93°+6°normal 87°92° to 93°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS94°+4°normal 90°94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (44¢)
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX85°+9°normal 76°84° or aboveUpset: favorite was 80° to 81° (52¢)
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF78°0°normal 78°77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (17¢)
MiamiMiami International · KMIA89°+1°normal 88°89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (42¢)
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP69°+1°normal 68°68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (41¢)
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY88°+2°normal 86°87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (70¢)
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC63°−9°normal 72°64° or below✓ favorite came in
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR64°−9°normal 73°64° or belowUpset: favorite was 65° to 66° (47¢)
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC93°+13°normal 80°93° to 94°✓ favorite came in
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL67°−8°normal 75°67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 63° to 64° (44¢)
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX——97° to 98°✓ favorite came in
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT96°+8°normal 88°96° to 97°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN80°+4°normal 76°80° to 81°✓ favorite came in
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO65°−10°normal 75°64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (44¢)
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA65°−3°normal 68°65° to 66°✓ favorite came in
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN65°−8°normal 73°65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 63° to 64° (49¢)
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA66°−11°normal 77°66° to 67°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Sun, Sep 27

Every settled day

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Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta80-81°FKATLholds Kalshi's high
Austin96-97°FKAUScame out apart
Chicago72-73°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas94-95°FKDALcame out apart
Denver84-85°FKBKFcame out apart
Houston92-93°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles84-85°FKLAXholds Kalshi's high
Miami88-89°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City64-65°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco64-65°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle64-65°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high