Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Thu, Sep 24, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 92°F (+11°).
  • Coolest against normal: Atlanta, 70°F (−12°).
  • 10 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Dallas 53 days, Austin 41 days, Los Angeles 18 days, Oklahoma City 14 days.
  • On a run below normal: Chicago 7 days, Minneapolis 7 days, Seattle 7 days, Boston 6 days.
  • Within 3° of the record for the date: Miami 91° (record 92°), Houston 95° (record 97°).
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 16 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements35 days ago, settled Sep 25, 10:10 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL70°−12°normal 82°73° or below✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS98°+9°normal 89°98° to 99°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS65°−5°normal 70°65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 63° to 64° (53¢)
ChicagoMidway · KMDW69°−4°normal 73°68° to 69°✓ favorite came in
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW94°+8°normal 86°93° to 94°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN71°−5°normal 76°70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 72° or above (69¢)
HoustonHobby · KHOU95°+7°normal 88°94° to 95°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS95°+3°normal 92°94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (50¢)
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX78°+2°normal 76°78° to 79°✓ favorite came in
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF72°−7°normal 79°73° or belowUpset: favorite was 74° to 75° (42¢)
MiamiMiami International · KMIA91°+2°normal 89°90° to 91°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP68°−2°normal 70°67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (28¢)
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY89°+2°normal 87°89° to 90°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC66°−7°normal 73°66° to 67°✓ favorite came in
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR68°−7°normal 75°68° to 69°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC92°+11°normal 81°91° to 92°✓ favorite came in
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL68°−8°normal 76°67° to 68°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX88°−10°normal 98°95° or below✓ favorite came in
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT95°+7°normal 88°95° to 96°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN77°0°normal 77°77° or belowUpset: favorite was 78° to 79° (59¢)
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO77°+2°normal 75°76° to 77°✓ favorite came in
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA63°−6°normal 69°62° to 63°✓ favorite came in
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN65°−9°normal 74°64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (50¢)
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA67°−11°normal 78°67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (49¢)

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Thu, Sep 24

Every settled day

Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta70-71°FKATLholds Kalshi's high
Austin96-97°FKAUScame out apart
Chicago68-69°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas92-93°FKDALcame out apart
Denver70-71°FKBKFholds Kalshi's high
Houston94-95°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles76-77°FKLAXcame out apart
Miami90-91°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City68-69°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco76-77°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle62-63°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high