Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Thu, Oct 22, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 24, 3:20 AM EDT.

  • 23 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 75°F (+20°).
  • Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 63°F (−8°).
  • 19 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Denver 6 days, Minneapolis 6 days, Chicago 5 days, Louisville 4 days.
  • On a run below normal: San Francisco 5 days.
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 14 of 23 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM7 days ago, fetched Oct 24, 3:20 AM EDTKalshi settlements7 days ago, settled Oct 23, 10:12 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL76°+4°normal 72°76° to 77°✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS87°+6°normal 81°86° to 87°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS65°+5°normal 60°65° or aboveUpset: favorite was 63° to 64° (56¢)
ChicagoMidway · KMDW72°+11°normal 61°72° to 73°✓ favorite came in
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW83°+7°normal 76°83° to 84°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN74°+11°normal 63°73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 72° or below (49¢)
HoustonHobby · KHOU84°+4°normal 80°84° to 85°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS77°−2°normal 79°77° or aboveUpset: favorite was 75° to 76° (44¢)
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX71°−3°normal 74°not settled yet
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF74°+6°normal 68°74° to 75°✓ favorite came in
MiamiMiami International · KMIA80°−5°normal 85°80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (41¢)
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP75°+20°normal 55°74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (65¢)
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY82°+3°normal 79°81° to 82°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC67°+5°normal 62°67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (65¢)
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR69°+5°normal 64°68° to 69°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC80°+9°normal 71°80° to 81°✓ favorite came in
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL70°+5°normal 65°70° to 71°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX89°+2°normal 87°87° or aboveUpset: favorite was 85° to 86° (38¢)
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT86°+6°normal 80°85° to 86°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN73°−1°normal 74°72° to 73°✓ favorite came in
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO63°−8°normal 71°63° to 64°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (41¢)
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA60°+2°normal 58°60° to 61°Upset: favorite was 58° to 59° (58¢)
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN69°+6°normal 63°68° to 69°✓ favorite came in
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA70°+3°normal 67°69° to 70°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Thu, Oct 22

Every settled day

Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta74-75°FKATLcame out apart
Austin86-87°FKAUSholds Kalshi's high
Chicago72-73°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas82-83°FKDALholds Kalshi's high
Denver76-77°FKBKFcame out apart
Houston84-85°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles70-71°FKLAX—
Miami80-81°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City66-67°FKLGAholds Kalshi's high
San Francisco62-63°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle60-61°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high