Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Thu, Oct 15, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Los Angeles, 88°F (+14°).
- Coolest against normal: Denver, 54°F (−12°).
- 16 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Miami 12 days, Austin 11 days, Dallas 11 days, Houston 11 days.
- On a run below normal: Las Vegas 5 days, Phoenix 5 days, Minneapolis 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Atlanta 88° (record 86°), Miami 90° (record 91°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 16 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements14 days ago, settled Oct 16, 10:12 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 88° | 2:23 PM | +13°normal 75° | 87° to 88°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 92° | 3:25 PM | +9°normal 83° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 62° | 1:03 PM | 0°normal 62° | 61° to 62°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 66° | 9:17 PM | +2°normal 64° | 65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 67° or above (42¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 90° | 3:12 PM | +11°normal 79° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 54° | 3:03 PM | −12°normal 66° | 53° to 54°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 90° | 1:47 PM | +7°normal 83° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 81° | 3:00 PM | −1°normal 82° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (56¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 88° | 11:45 AM | +14°normal 74° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (35¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 84° | 3:11 PM | +13°normal 71° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (35¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 2:38 PM | +4°normal 86° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 51° | 8:12 AM | −8°normal 59° | 52° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 87° | 2:20 PM | +6°normal 81° | 87° to 88°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 64° | 2:05 PM | −1°normal 65° | 64° to 65°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 66° | 3:47 PM | 0°normal 66° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 70° | 2:11 PM | −3°normal 73° | 76° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 73° | 12:12 AM | +5°normal 68° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 88° | 4:33 PM | −2°normal 90° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (50¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 89° | 4:24 PM | +6°normal 83° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 87° | 4:20 PM | +12°normal 75° | 87° to 88°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 84° | 3:27 PM | +11°normal 73° | 84° to 85°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 68° | 3:41 PM | +7°normal 61° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (33¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 67° | 2:25 PM | +1°normal 66° | 67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (38¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 77° | 12:22 AM | +7°normal 70° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (47¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 86-87°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 90-91°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 66-67°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 88-89°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 54-55°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 88-89°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 86-87°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 66-67°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 80-81°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam20°C
- Ankara18°C
- Beijing27°C
- Buenos Aires21°C
- Busan22°C
- Cape Town21°C
- Chengdu25°C
- Chongqing23°C
- Guangzhou32°C
- Helsinki11°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul15°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi35°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London22°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid26°C
- Manila34°C
- Mexico City23°C
- Milan21°C
- Moscow9°C
- Munich18°C or higher
- Panama City33°C
- Paris24°C
- Qingdao27°C
- Sao Paulo27°C
- Seoul21°C
- Shanghai24°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore31°C
- Tel Aviv28°C
- Tokyo22°C
- Toronto12°C
- Warsaw13°C
- Wellington16°C
- Wuhan23°C