Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Oct 3, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: San Diego, 105°F (+29°).
- Coolest against normal: Oklahoma City, 69°F (−9°).
- 15 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Los Angeles 27 days, Houston 16 days, San Diego 9 days, Louisville 6 days.
- On a run below normal: Dallas 3 days, Oklahoma City 3 days, San Antonio 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: San Diego 105° (record 104°), Los Angeles 102° (record 103°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 8 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements26 days ago, settled Oct 4, 10:14 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 86° | 3:26 PM | +7°normal 79° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (32¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 78° | 2:18 PM | −9°normal 87° | 78° or belowUpset: favorite was 81° to 82° (34¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 67° | 12:22 AM | 0°normal 67° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 70° | 3:50 PM | 0°normal 70° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 68° to 69° (57¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 74° | 5:12 PM | −9°normal 83° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (38¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 83° | 1:33 PM | +12°normal 71° | 83° to 84°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 89° | 3:41 PM | +3°normal 86° | 88° to 89°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 96° | 2:35 PM | +9°normal 87° | 96° to 97°Upset: favorite was 94° to 95° (54¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 102° | 11:29 AM | +27°normal 75° | 99° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 77° | 3:34 PM | +1°normal 76° | 77° or aboveUpset: favorite was 75° to 76° (52¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 87° | 1:27 PM | −1°normal 88° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (43¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 71° | 2:11 PM | +6°normal 65° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (39¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 83° | 9:37 AM | −2°normal 85° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (43¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 70° | 2:23 PM | +1°normal 69° | 70° to 71°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 73° | 3:17 PM | +2°normal 71° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (35¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 69° | 5:24 PM | −9°normal 78° | 70° or belowUpset: favorite was 75° to 76° (35¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 73° | 2:50 PM | +1°normal 72° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 97° | 3:58 PM | +3°normal 94° | 97° to 98°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 80° | 12:59 PM | −6°normal 86° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (41¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 105° | 12:10 PM | +29°normal 76° | 104° or aboveUpset: favorite was 102° to 103° (27¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 90° | 3:29 PM | +16°normal 74° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 91° or above (34¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 67° | 4:15 PM | +2°normal 65° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (45¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 72° | 2:36 PM | +1°normal 71° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 67° | 3:13 AM | −7°normal 74° | 68° or belowUpset: favorite was 69° to 70° (38¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
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- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 84-85°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 78-79°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 68-69°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 74-75°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 82-83°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 88-89°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 100-101°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 86-87°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 70-71°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 88-89°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam20°C
- Ankara17°C
- Beijing23°C
- Buenos Aires18°C
- Busan25°C
- Cape Town21°C
- Chengdu26°C
- Chongqing21°C
- Guangzhou32°C
- Helsinki13°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul19°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi34°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London20°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid22°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan24°C
- Moscow11°C
- Munich20°C
- Panama City30°C
- Paris23°C
- Qingdao23°C
- Sao Paulo24°C
- Seoul21°C
- Shanghai22°C
- Shenzhen29°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv32°C
- Tokyo22°C
- Toronto16°C
- Warsaw22°C
- Wellington13°C
- Wuhan19°C