Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Aug 30, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 104°F (+15°).
  • Coolest against normal: Seattle, 71°F (−5°).
  • 17 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Dallas 28 days, Oklahoma City 28 days, Atlanta 23 days, San Antonio 22 days.
  • On a run below normal: San Francisco 4 days, Seattle 4 days.
  • Within 3° of the record for the date: Oklahoma City 104° (record 105°).
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 16 of 23 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements60 days ago, settled Aug 31, 10:50 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL91°+4°normal 87°91° to 92°✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS100°+5°normal 95°100° to 101°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS86°+8°normal 78°86° to 87°✓ favorite came in
ChicagoMidway · KMDW81°0°normal 81°85° or below✓ favorite came in
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW101°+8°normal 93°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN85°0°normal 85°85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (38¢)
HoustonHobby · KHOU97°+5°normal 92°96° to 97°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS101°0°normal 101°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX84°+7°normal 77°84° or above✓ favorite came in
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF94°+7°normal 87°94° to 95°
MiamiMiami International · KMIA91°+1°normal 90°91° to 92°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP87°+9°normal 78°86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (38¢)
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY91°+1°normal 90°91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (40¢)
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC79°−2°normal 81°81° or below✓ favorite came in
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR81°−2°normal 83°82° or below✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC104°+15°normal 89°104° to 105°Upset: favorite was 102° to 103° (58¢)
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL87°+3°normal 84°86° to 87°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX106°+2°normal 104°106° to 107°Upset: favorite was 104° to 105° (39¢)
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT98°+4°normal 94°98° to 99°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN81°+3°normal 78°81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (44¢)
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO71°−3°normal 74°70° to 71°✓ favorite came in
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA71°−5°normal 76°71° to 72°✓ favorite came in
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN84°+2°normal 82°84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 81° or below (47¢)
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA89°+3°normal 86°89° to 90°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Sun, Aug 30

Every settled day

Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta90-91°FKATLholds Kalshi's high
Austin98-99°FKAUScame out apart
Chicago82-83°FKORDcame out apart
Dallas100-101°FKDALholds Kalshi's high
Denver82-83°FKBKFcame out apart
Houston96-97°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles82-83°FKLAXcame out apart
Miami90-91°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City80-81°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco70-71°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle70-71°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high