Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Oct 11, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 90°F (+29°).
- Coolest against normal: Las Vegas, 74°F (−9°).
- 10 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Denver 10 days, Minneapolis 9 days, Miami 8 days, Oklahoma City 8 days.
- On a run below normal: Atlanta 3 days, San Francisco 3 days, Seattle 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Minneapolis 90° (record 85°), Austin 94° (record 96°), Denver 85° (record 87°), Miami 90° (record 92°), Houston 90° (record 93°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 9 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements18 days ago, settled Oct 12, 10:09 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 70° | 2:23 PM | −6°normal 76° | 70° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 94° | 2:08 PM | +10°normal 84° | 94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (65¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 60° | 1:49 PM | −4°normal 64° | 60° to 61°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 78° | 3:56 PM | +12°normal 66° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 91° | 3:25 PM | +10°normal 81° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (62¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 85° | 2:09 PM | +18°normal 67° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (52¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 90° | — | +6°normal 84° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 74° | 4:18 PM | −9°normal 83° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 72° or below (77¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 74° | 12:02 AM | −1°normal 75° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (55¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 67° | 4:03 PM | −6°normal 73° | 69° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 2:06 PM | +3°normal 87° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (71¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 90° | 3:27 PM | +29°normal 61° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (45¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 87° | 3:10 PM | +5°normal 82° | 87° to 88°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 60° | 7:41 AM | −6°normal 66° | 61° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 62° | 12:40 AM | −6°normal 68° | 62° or belowUpset: favorite was 63° to 64° (44¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 90° | 2:56 PM | +15°normal 75° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 65° | 3:13 PM | −4°normal 69° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (49¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 89° | 12:56 PM | −2°normal 91° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (40¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 90° | 3:47 AM | +6°normal 84° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (54¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 73° | 12:48 PM | −2°normal 75° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (44¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 65° | 1:03 PM | −8°normal 73° | 65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (49¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 60° | 3:21 PM | −2°normal 62° | 60° to 61°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 61° | 3:31 PM | −6°normal 67° | 61° or belowUpset: favorite was 64° to 65° (38¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 67° | 6:17 PM | −4°normal 71° | 67° or belowUpset: favorite was 68° to 69° (43¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
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- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Wed, Sep 9
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- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
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- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 68-69°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 92-93°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 78-79°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 90-91°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 84-85°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 88-89°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 72-73°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 60-61°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 58-59°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam14°C
- Ankara25°C
- Beijing26°C
- Buenos Aires15°C
- Busan28°C
- Cape Town25°C
- Chengdu23°C
- Chongqing25°C
- Guangzhou34°C
- Helsinki7°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul27°C
- Jeddah37°C
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London17°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid25°C
- Manila30°C
- Mexico City25°C
- Milan21°C
- Moscow15°C
- Munich14°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris17°C
- Qingdao26°C
- Sao Paulo25°C
- Seoul26°C
- Shanghai26°C
- Shenzhen31°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv30°C
- Tokyo26°C
- Toronto17°C
- Warsaw14°C
- Wellington17°C
- Wuhan30°C