Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Sep 14, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 101°F (+16°).
- Coolest against normal: Minneapolis, 61°F (−13°).
- 13 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 43 days, Austin 31 days, Phoenix 10 days, San Antonio 10 days.
- On a run below normal: Seattle 5 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: San Antonio 100° (record 99°), Austin 101° (record 101°), Oklahoma City 101° (record 102°), Dallas 100° (record 102°), Atlanta 93° (record 96°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 9 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements45 days ago, settled Sep 15, 10:22 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 93° | 4:10 PM | +8°normal 85° | 92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 94° to 95° (65¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 101° | 3:53 PM | +10°normal 91° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (48¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 74° | 3:04 PM | 0°normal 74° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (42¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 72° | 4:26 PM | −5°normal 77° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (51¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 100° | 3:15 PM | +11°normal 89° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 88° | 3:29 PM | +7°normal 81° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (51¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 95° | 1:44 PM | +5°normal 90° | 95° to 96°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (41¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 100° | 3:24 PM | +4°normal 96° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 80° | 10:33 AM | +3°normal 77° | 79° to 80°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 83° | 4:34 PM | 0°normal 83° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 80° or below (44¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 3:07 PM | +1°normal 89° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (47¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 61° | 11:59 PM | −13°normal 74° | 63° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 94° | 2:41 PM | +5°normal 89° | 93° to 94°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 75° | 12:52 AM | −2°normal 77° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 76° | 4:14 PM | −3°normal 79° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 101° | 2:27 PM | +16°normal 85° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (48¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 78° | 3:43 PM | −2°normal 80° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (51¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 105° | 5:07 PM | +4°normal 101° | 105° to 106°Upset: favorite was 103° to 104° (35¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 100° | 4:02 PM | +10°normal 90° | 100° to 101°Upset: favorite was 98° to 99° (55¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 75° | 2:36 PM | −3°normal 78° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (41¢)settled 7:22 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 78° | 12:07 PM | +3°normal 75° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (43¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 67° | 2:17 PM | −5°normal 72° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 75° | 2:51 PM | −3°normal 78° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 81° | 3:06 PM | 0°normal 81° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (56¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
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- Wed, Oct 14
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
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- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
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- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 92-93°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 100-101°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 70-71°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 98-99°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 86-87°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 94-95°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 78-79°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 76-77°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 74-75°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam23°C
- Ankara26°C
- Beijing26°C
- Buenos Aires16°C
- Busan31°C
- Cape Town18°C
- Chengdu22°C or below
- Chongqing23°C or below
- Guangzhou34°C
- Helsinki17°C
- Hong Kong28°C
- Istanbul22°C
- Jeddah37°C
- Jinan30°C
- Karachi39°C or higher
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London25°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid35°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan29°C
- Moscow18°C
- Munich22°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris29°C
- Qingdao29°C
- Sao Paulo16°C
- Seoul26°C
- Shanghai29°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv33°C
- Tokyo31°C
- Toronto19°C
- Warsaw19°C
- Wellington16°C
- Wuhan33°C
- Zhengzhou31°C