Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Los Angeles, 102°F (+27°).
- Coolest against normal: Washington DC, 65°F (−9°).
- 12 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Los Angeles 28 days, San Diego 10 days, Louisville 7 days, Las Vegas 5 days.
- On a run below normal: Dallas 4 days, San Antonio 4 days, Austin 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: San Diego 100° (record 97°), Los Angeles 102° (record 103°), Miami 90° (record 93°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 10 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements25 days ago, settled Oct 5, 10:14 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 78° | 12:44 PM | −1°normal 79° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (39¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 77° | 6:04 PM | −9°normal 86° | 79° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 63° | 1:12 PM | −3°normal 66° | 63° to 64°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 74° | 2:09 PM | +5°normal 69° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (49¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 78° | 5:01 PM | −5°normal 83° | 79° or belowUpset: favorite was 80° to 81° (36¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 81° | 4:02 PM | +10°normal 71° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (58¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 79° | 10:26 AM | −7°normal 86° | 80° or belowUpset: favorite was 83° to 84° (40¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 97° | 3:14 PM | +10°normal 87° | 97° to 98°Upset: favorite was 95° to 96° (61¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 102° | 12:33 PM | +27°normal 75° | 99° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 79° | 3:50 PM | +4°normal 75° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (57¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 1:57 PM | +2°normal 88° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 69° | 3:14 PM | +4°normal 65° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 82° | 2:40 PM | −2°normal 84° | 82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 80° to 81° (41¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 62° | 12:00 PM | −7°normal 69° | 62° or belowUpset: favorite was 63° to 64° (46¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 63° | 10:28 AM | −8°normal 71° | 63° or belowUpset: favorite was 64° to 65° (44¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 82° | 4:07 PM | +5°normal 77° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 64° | 6:43 AM | −8°normal 72° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (35¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 99° | 3:51 PM | +5°normal 94° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 80° | 12:19 PM | −6°normal 86° | 81° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 100° | 11:44 AM | +24°normal 76° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 83° | 4:08 PM | +9°normal 74° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 91° or above (40¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 69° | 3:59 PM | +4°normal 65° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (40¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 61° | 8:59 AM | −9°normal 70° | 62° or belowUpset: favorite was 63° to 64° (39¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 65° | 5:14 PM | −9°normal 74° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 76-77°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 76-77°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 72-73°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 78-79°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 80-81°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 78-79°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 100-101°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 62-63°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 82-83°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 68-69°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam20°C
- Ankara19°C
- Beijing21°C
- Buenos Aires24°C
- Busan26°C
- Cape Town28°C
- Chengdu26°C
- Chongqing20°C
- Guangzhou33°C
- Helsinki15°C
- Hong Kong30°C
- Istanbul19°C
- Jeddah35°C
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur32°C
- London22°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid24°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City20°C
- Milan25°C
- Moscow13°C
- Munich22°C
- Panama City32°C or higher
- Paris25°C
- Qingdao22°C
- Sao Paulo28°C
- Seoul24°C
- Shanghai23°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv30°C
- Tokyo22°C
- Toronto22°C
- Warsaw18°C
- Wellington13°C
- Wuhan24°C