Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 6:20 AM EDT.
Miami so far today: the high is 80°F (hourly reading, 1:53 AM), in the 80° or below bracket. The favorite is 85° to 86° at 69¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 5° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM EDT. 6 reports from KMIA from 1:00 AM to 7:13 AM EDT, between 79°F and 80°F; the latest 79°F at 6:53 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 89° or above | 2¢ | |
| 87° to 88° | 18¢ | |
| 85° to 86° | 69¢ | favorite |
| 83° to 84° | 12¢ | |
| 81° to 82° | 2¢ | |
| 80° or below | 1¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 6:53 AM | 79°F |
| 5:53 AM | 80°F |
| 4:53 AM | 79°F |
| 3:53 AM | 80°F |
| 2:53 AM | 79°F |
| 1:53 AM | 80°F |
Which bracket will Miami settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
Create a free account to play: calls on your 3 cities, your record beside the market's favorite and the model's.
Prices (30 min late) 31 min ago· Readings 20 min ago
High so far today
80°F
hourly reading at 1:53 AM, 6 reports so far
Latest reading
79°F
taken 6:53 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
17 h 47 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89° or above | 2¢ | 1¢ | 2¢ | 105 × 253 | 1,126 |
| 87° to 88° | 18¢ | 17¢ | 19¢ | 110 × 65 | 4,460 |
| 85° to 86°favorite | 69¢ | 68¢ | 70¢ | 0 × 7 | 3,130 |
| 83° to 84° | 12¢ | 11¢ | 11¢ | 38 × 16 | 2,768 |
| 81° to 82° | 2¢ | 1¢ | 1¢ | 47 × 37 | 1,368 |
| 80° or belowhigh so far 80° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 69.9k | 60 |
79°F
Favorite 78° or above at 86¢ · in it now
Low so far set at 6:53 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 17 h 47 min.
From KMIA's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Highest hourly reading so far at Miami Intl Airport (KMIA): 81°F at 12:53 AM.
Polymarket's highest-priced range is 84°–85° at 62¢.
Same station as Kalshi, but Polymarket settles on the highest hourly reading, midnight to midnight local time.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KMIA) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:53 AM | 79° | METAR KMIA 311053Z 09007KT 10SM FEW019 26/23 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP162 T02610233 $ | ||
| 5:53 AM | 80° | METAR KMIA 310953Z 09008KT 10SM SCT019 SCT040 27/23 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP158 T02670233 $ | ||
| 4:53 AM | 79° | METAR KMIA 310853Z 09006KT 10SM FEW019 BKN030 BKN050 26/23 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP155 T02610233 56005 $ | ||
| 3:53 AM | 80° | METAR KMIA 310753Z 10010KT 10SM FEW019 BKN030 BKN050 27/23 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP155 T02670233 $ | ||
| 2:53 AM | 79° | METAR KMIA 310653Z 10009KT 10SM FEW019 BKN030 BKN050 26/23 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP157 T02610233 $ | ||
| 1:53 AM | 80° | 82° | METAR KMIA 310553Z 08009KT 10SM FEW019 BKN030 BKN050 27/23 A3000 RMK AO2 RAB13E28 SLP159 P0000 60000 T02670233 10278 20261 58003 $ |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KMIA (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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