Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport (KPHX). Today's high counts from 12:00 AM Oct 31 to 12:00 AM Nov 1 MST.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 3:20 AM MST.
Phoenix so far today: the high is 66°F (hourly reading, 1:51 AM), in the 75° or below bracket. The favorite is 78° to 79° at 45¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 12° above the high so far. Trading closes at 12:00 AM MST. 4 reports from KPHX from 12:00 AM to 4:12 AM MST, between 65°F and 66°F; the latest 65°F at 3:51 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 84° or above | 2¢ | |
| 82° to 83° | 3¢ | |
| 80° to 81° | 27¢ | |
| 78° to 79° | 45¢ | favorite |
| 76° to 77° | 21¢ | |
| 75° or below | 4¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 3:51 AM | 65°F |
| 2:51 AM | 66°F |
| 1:51 AM | 66°F |
| 12:51 AM | 65°F |
Which bracket will Phoenix settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
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Prices (30 min late) 30 min ago· Readings 21 min ago
High so far today
66°F
hourly reading at 1:51 AM, 4 reports so far
Latest reading
65°F
taken 3:51 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
19 h 48 min
usually settles around 7:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84° or above | 2¢ | 1¢ | 1¢ | 112 × 329 | 122 |
| 82° to 83° | 3¢ | 2¢ | 2¢ | 129 × 25 | 615 |
| 80° to 81° | 28¢ | 26¢ | 30¢ | 54 × 1 | 347 |
| 78° to 79°favorite | 46¢ | 44¢ | 46¢ | 1 × 6 | 913 |
| 76° to 77° | 21¢ | 20¢ | 20¢ | 57 × 54 | 1,020 |
| 75° or belowhigh so far 66° | 4¢ | 3¢ | 4¢ | 119 × 54 | 521 |
65°F
Favorite 64° to 65° at 87¢ · in it now
Low so far set at 3:51 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 19 h 48 min.
From KPHX's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KPHX) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3:51 AMcorrected | 65° | METAR KPHX 311051Z COR 08006KT 10SM SCT060 BKN100 BKN180 18/15 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP114 TCU DSNT NE-SE AND S T01830150 PNO $ | ||
| 2:51 AM | 66° | METAR KPHX 310951Z 09006KT 10SM FEW060 SCT100 BKN180 19/15 A2991 RMK AO2 SLP117 TCU SE AND SW T01890150 | ||
| 1:51 AM | 66° | METAR KPHX 310851Z 09007KT 10SM FEW047 FEW060 SCT100 BKN180 19/15 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP118 CB DSNT NE TCU DSNT SE T01890150 50001 | ||
| 12:51 AM | 65° | METAR KPHX 310751Z 09004KT 10SM FEW047 SCT060 SCT100 BKN180 18/15 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP119 TCU DSNT NE-E AND NW T01830150 |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Phoenix keeps standard time all year, so its settlement day is midnight to midnight on the local clock, summer and winter.
Download every official high at KPHX (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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