Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Aug 31, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 93°F (+15°).
- Coolest against normal: Phoenix, 91°F (−13°).
- 12 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 29 days, Oklahoma City 29 days, Atlanta 24 days, San Antonio 23 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 5 days, New York City 3 days, Newark 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Minneapolis 93° (record 94°), Atlanta 94° (record 96°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 7 of 23 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements59 days ago, settled Sep 1, 11:38 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 94° | 3:42 PM | +7°normal 87° | 94° to 95°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 101° | 3:17 PM | +6°normal 95° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (59¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 73° | 5:05 PM | −5°normal 78° | 76° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 91° | 1:47 PM | +10°normal 81° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (36¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 102° | 3:29 PM | +9°normal 93° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (49¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 86° | 4:29 PM | +1°normal 85° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (47¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 90° | 3:04 PM | −2°normal 92° | 93° or belowUpset: favorite was 94° to 95° (50¢)settled 8:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 100° | 3:39 PM | 0°normal 100° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 79° | 1:27 PM | +2°normal 77° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 80° or above (68¢)settled 7:27 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 95° | 3:26 PM | +8°normal 87° | 95° to 96°settled 7:14 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 91° | 11:12 AM | +1°normal 90° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:20 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 93° | 3:26 PM | +15°normal 78° | 93° or aboveUpset: favorite was 89° to 90° (35¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 90° | 2:33 PM | 0°normal 90° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (47¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 78° | 12:28 PM | −3°normal 81° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 77° or below (54¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 80° | 12:01 PM | −3°normal 83° | 79° to 80°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 101° | 3:45 PM | +12°normal 89° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 82° | 4:05 PM | −2°normal 84° | 82° or belowUpset: favorite was 85° to 86° (48¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 91° | 4:40 PM | −13°normal 104° | 94° or belowUpset: favorite was 97° to 98° (37¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 97° | 5:40 PM | +3°normal 94° | 96° to 97°Upset: favorite was 98° to 99° (67¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 78° | 2:48 PM | 0°normal 78° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (45¢)settled 8:38 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 67° | 2:18 PM | −7°normal 74° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 68° to 69° (34¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 76° | 4:27 PM | 0°normal 76° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 78° | 3:32 PM | −4°normal 82° | 80° or belowUpset: favorite was 81° to 82° (48¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 87° | 3:34 PM | +1°normal 86° | 90° or belowUpset: favorite was 91° to 92° (41¢)settled 7:21 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
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- Sat, Oct 17
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- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
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- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
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- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
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- Sun, Sep 27
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- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
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- Wed, Sep 9
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- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
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- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 92-93°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 98-99°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 86-87°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 86-87°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 90-91°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 78-79°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 76-77°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 66-67°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 76-77°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam20°C
- Ankara29°C
- Beijing31°C
- Buenos Aires19°C
- Busan32°C
- Cape Town18°C
- Chengdu35°C
- Chongqing34°C
- Guangzhou33°C
- Helsinki19°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul26°C
- Jeddah38°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi30°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London24°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid33°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan31°C
- Moscow19°C
- Munich25°C
- Panama City23°C or below
- Paris23°C
- Qingdao31°C
- Sao Paulo29°C or below
- Seoul25°C
- Shanghai33°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore30°C
- Tel Aviv32°C
- Tokyo27°C
- Toronto21°C
- Warsaw27°C or higher
- Wellington17°C
- Wuhan34°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher