Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Fri, Sep 25, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 92°F (+11°).
- Coolest against normal: Chicago, 64°F (−9°).
- 10 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 54 days, Austin 42 days, Los Angeles 19 days, Oklahoma City 15 days.
- On a run below normal: Chicago 8 days, Seattle 8 days, Boston 7 days, New York City 7 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Miami 91° (record 92°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 15 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements34 days ago, settled Sep 26, 12:01 PM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 77° | 4:16 PM | −5°normal 82° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 98° | 4:06 PM | +9°normal 89° | 97° to 98°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 64° | 9:58 PM | −6°normal 70° | 63° to 64°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (51¢)settled 12:01 PM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 64° | 4:47 PM | −9°normal 73° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (42¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 92° | 4:32 PM | +6°normal 86° | 93° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 76° | 1:31 PM | 0°normal 76° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 91° | 4:10 PM | +3°normal 88° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (41¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 97° | 3:07 PM | +6°normal 91° | 96° to 97°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 77° | 1:03 PM | +1°normal 76° | 80° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:21 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 78° | 4:41 PM | −1°normal 79° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (47¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 91° | 2:28 PM | +3°normal 88° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (49¢)settled 7:20 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 71° | 3:34 PM | +2°normal 69° | 71° to 72°Upset: favorite was 73° to 74° (41¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 86° | 3:20 PM | −1°normal 87° | 86° to 87°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 69° | 2:28 PM | −4°normal 73° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (49¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 70° | 6:01 PM | −4°normal 74° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (32¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 92° | 3:40 PM | +11°normal 81° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 75° | 2:45 PM | −1°normal 76° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 95° | 3:26 PM | −2°normal 97° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 96° | 4:42 PM | +8°normal 88° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 79° | 11:24 AM | +3°normal 76° | 81° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 71° | 1:29 PM | −4°normal 75° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 62° | 2:55 PM | −7°normal 69° | 61° to 62°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 70° | 3:06 PM | −4°normal 74° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (37¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 76° | 3:23 PM | −1°normal 77° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:21 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 76-77°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 96-97°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 64-65°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 92-93°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 74-75°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 90-91°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 68-69°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 70-71°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 62-63°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam22°C
- Ankara20°C
- Beijing26°C
- Buenos Aires27°C
- Busan27°C
- Cape Town23°C
- Chengdu28°C
- Chongqing29°C
- Guangzhou35°C
- Helsinki13°C
- Hong Kong32°C
- Istanbul21°C
- Jeddah37°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi34°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London24°C
- Lucknow24°C
- Madrid35°C
- Manila34°C
- Mexico City25°C
- Milan22°C
- Moscow12°C
- Munich19°C
- Panama City30°C
- Paris28°C
- Qingdao22°C
- Sao Paulo28°C
- Seoul24°C
- Shanghai31°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv30°C
- Tokyo27°C
- Toronto21°C
- Warsaw16°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan33°C
- Zhengzhou22°C or below