Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Sep 28, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 91°F (+11°).
- Coolest against normal: Phoenix, 83°F (−13°).
- 12 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 57 days, Austin 45 days, Los Angeles 22 days, Oklahoma City 18 days.
- On a run below normal: Seattle 11 days, Boston 10 days, New York City 10 days, Newark 10 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Miami 90° (record 93°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 11 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements31 days ago, settled Sep 29, 10:13 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 80° | 4:20 PM | −1°normal 81° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (47¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 98° | 3:36 PM | +10°normal 88° | 97° to 98°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 58° | 10:09 PM | −11°normal 69° | 58° or belowUpset: favorite was 59° to 60° (48¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 73° | 1:20 PM | +1°normal 72° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 93° | 4:29 PM | +8°normal 85° | 93° to 94°Upset: favorite was 92° or below (38¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 71° | 3:12 PM | −3°normal 74° | 72° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 92° | 2:51 PM | +5°normal 87° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 82° | 1:52 PM | −8°normal 90° | 82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (36¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 77° | 12:12 PM | +2°normal 75° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (45¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 80° | 4:36 PM | +2°normal 78° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 1:15 PM | +2°normal 88° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 72° | 4:47 PM | +4°normal 68° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 71° or below (68¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 91° | 3:04 PM | +5°normal 86° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (54¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 62° | 5:07 PM | −10°normal 72° | 63° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 65° | 3:52 PM | −8°normal 73° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 63° or below (60¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 91° | 3:19 PM | +11°normal 80° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 69° | 4:21 PM | −5°normal 74° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (45¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 83° | 2:41 AM | −13°normal 96° | 83° to 84°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 96° | 4:10 PM | +9°normal 87° | 96° to 97°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 78° | 2:08 PM | +2°normal 76° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 69° | 1:20 PM | −6°normal 75° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (35¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 64° | 2:25 PM | −4°normal 68° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (59¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 67° | 2:47 PM | −6°normal 73° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 63° or below (42¢)settled 10:00 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 71° | 3:30 PM | −5°normal 76° | 71° to 72°Upset: favorite was 73° to 74° (40¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 80-81°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 96-97°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 72-73°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 92-93°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 68-69°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 92-93°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 62-63°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 68-69°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 64-65°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam21°C
- Ankara16°C
- Beijing25°C
- Buenos Aires21°C
- Busan26°C
- Cape Town23°C
- Chengdu25°C
- Chongqing27°C or below
- Guangzhou36°C
- Helsinki16°C
- Hong Kong32°C
- Istanbul19°C
- Jeddah35°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi32°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London19°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid26°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan25°C
- Moscow14°C
- Munich26°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris24°C
- Qingdao26°C
- Sao Paulo30°C
- Seoul23°C
- Shanghai26°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore30°C
- Tel Aviv30°C
- Tokyo26°C
- Toronto21°C
- Warsaw21°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan24°C
- Zhengzhou22°C or below