Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Newark Liberty International Airport (KEWR). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 4:21 AM EDT.
Newark so far today: the high is 51°F (hourly reading, 1:51 AM), in the 59° or below bracket. The favorite is 60° to 61° at 50¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 9° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM EDT. 6 reports from KEWR from 1:00 AM to 7:13 AM EDT, between 47°F and 51°F; the latest 47°F at 6:51 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 68° or above | 1¢ | |
| 66° to 67° | 1¢ | |
| 64° to 65° | 3¢ | |
| 62° to 63° | 27¢ | |
| 60° to 61° | 50¢ | favorite |
| 59° or below | 12¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 6:51 AM | 47°F |
| 5:51 AM | 47°F |
| 4:51 AM | 48°F |
| 3:51 AM | 49°F |
| 2:51 AM | 51°F |
| 1:51 AM | 51°F |
Which bracket will Newark settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
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Prices (30 min late) 31 min ago· Readings 22 min ago
High so far today
51°F
hourly reading at 1:51 AM, 6 reports so far
Latest reading
47°F
taken 6:51 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
17 h 47 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 659 | 20 |
| 66° to 67° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 98 | 44 |
| 64° to 65° | 3¢ | 2¢ | 1¢ | 2 × 26 | 6 |
| 62° to 63° | 34¢ | 19¢ | 22¢ | 10 × 1 | 168 |
| 60° to 61°favorite | 55¢ | 45¢ | 60¢ | 18 × 20 | 114 |
| 59° or belowhigh so far 51° | 12¢ | 11¢ | 13¢ | 1 × 23 | 56 |
47°F
Favorite 45° to 46° at 61¢ · 1° to go, down
Low so far set at 6:51 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 17 h 47 min.
From KEWR's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KEWR) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:51 AM | 47° | METAR KEWR 311051Z 29006KT 10SM FEW180 SCT250 08/02 A3038 RMK AO2 SLP287 T00830022 $ | ||
| 5:51 AM | 47° | METAR KEWR 310951Z 29005KT 10SM SCT250 08/02 A3037 RMK AO2 SLP282 T00830022 $ | ||
| 4:51 AM | 48° | METAR KEWR 310851Z 28005KT 10SM SCT250 09/02 A3034 RMK AO2 SLP275 T00890022 53009 $ | ||
| 3:51 AM | 49° | METAR KEWR 310751Z 29003KT 10SM SCT250 09/02 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP271 T00940022 $ | ||
| 2:51 AM | 51° | METAR KEWR 310651Z 31006KT 10SM SCT250 11/02 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP269 T01060017 $ | ||
| 1:51 AM | 51° | 57° | METAR KEWR 310551Z 33004KT 10SM FEW250 11/02 A3032 RMK AO2 SLP266 T01060017 10139 20106 51014 $ |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KEWR (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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