Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Fri, Oct 9, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Denver, 86°F (+18°).
- Coolest against normal: Seattle, 58°F (−5°).
- 21 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Los Angeles 33 days, San Diego 15 days, Las Vegas 10 days, Denver 8 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Denver 86° (record 87°), Las Vegas 96° (record 97°), Miami 90° (record 91°), Phoenix 104° (record 106°), Austin 92° (record 95°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 18 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM11 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements21 days ago, settled Oct 10, 10:19 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 73° | 2:02 PM | −4°normal 77° | 75° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 92° | 3:35 PM | +7°normal 85° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:17 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 69° | 1:30 PM | +4°normal 65° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 74° | 2:45 PM | +7°normal 67° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 91° | 3:40 PM | +10°normal 81° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 86° | 3:01 PM | +18°normal 68° | 86° to 87°✓ favorite came insettled 7:07 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 92° | 3:16 PM | +8°normal 84° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 96° | 4:17 PM | +12°normal 84° | 96° to 97°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 77° | 1:57 PM | +2°normal 75° | 78° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 85° | 3:46 PM | +12°normal 73° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 1:26 PM | +3°normal 87° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 73° | 2:38 PM | +11°normal 62° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (52¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 84° | 12:36 PM | +1°normal 83° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (48¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 70° | 3:30 PM | +3°normal 67° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (60¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 75° | 1:57 PM | +6°normal 69° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 90° | 3:30 PM | +14°normal 76° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 76° | 1:24 PM | +6°normal 70° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 104° | 2:57 PM | +12°normal 92° | 103° to 104°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 90° | 3:24 PM | +5°normal 85° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 80° | 11:26 AM | +5°normal 75° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 79° or below (45¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 71° | 12:52 PM | −3°normal 74° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 69° or below (75¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 58° | 12:41 PM | −5°normal 63° | 58° or belowUpset: favorite was 61° to 62° (46¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 73° | 1:24 PM | +5°normal 68° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 77° | 1:58 PM | +5°normal 72° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 72-73°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 90-91°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 70-71°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 90-91°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 86-87°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 90-91°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 72-73°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 70-71°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 58-59°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam18°C
- Ankara23°C
- Beijing26°C
- Buenos Aires16°C
- Busan26°C
- Cape Town21°C
- Chengdu23°C
- Chongqing26°C
- Guangzhou32°C
- Helsinki13°C
- Hong Kong30°C
- Istanbul24°C
- Jeddah35°C
- Karachi31°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London20°C
- Lucknow30°C
- Madrid21°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City20°C
- Milan23°C
- Moscow18°C
- Munich16°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris17°C
- Qingdao25°C
- Sao Paulo34°C
- Seoul23°C
- Shanghai26°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv29°C
- Tokyo24°C
- Toronto20°C
- Warsaw17°C
- Wellington19°C
- Wuhan28°C
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
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