Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport (KMSP). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 CDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 5:20 AM CDT.
Minneapolis so far today: the high is 52°F (hourly reading, 1:28 AM), in the 53° or below bracket. The favorite is 58° to 59° at 39¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 6° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM CDT. 15 reports from KMSP from 1:00 AM to 6:13 AM CDT, between 47°F and 52°F; the latest 48°F at 5:53 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 62° or above | 8¢ | |
| 60° to 61° | 25¢ | |
| 58° to 59° | 39¢ | favorite |
| 56° to 57° | 24¢ | |
| 54° to 55° | 7¢ | |
| 53° or below | 1¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 5:53 AM | 48°F |
| 4:53 AM | 48°F |
| 4:20 AM | 47°F |
| 4:04 AM | 48°F |
| 3:53 AM | 49°F |
| 3:45 AM | 49°F |
| 3:37 AM | 49°F |
| 3:32 AM | 49°F |
| 3:24 AM | 50°F |
| 2:53 AM | 52°F |
| 2:20 AM | 52°F |
| 2:01 AM | 52°F |
| 1:53 AM | 52°F |
| 1:43 AM | 52°F |
| 1:28 AM | 52°F |
Which bracket will Minneapolis settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
Create a free account to play: calls on your 3 cities, your record beside the market's favorite and the model's.
Prices (30 min late) 31 min ago· Readings 20 min ago
High so far today
52°F
hourly reading at 1:28 AM, 15 reports so far
Latest reading
48°F
taken 5:53 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
18 h 47 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62° or above | 8¢ | 7¢ | 7¢ | 24 × 16 | 1,281 |
| 60° to 61° | 25¢ | 24¢ | 24¢ | 13 × 131 | 343 |
| 58° to 59°favorite | 40¢ | 38¢ | 39¢ | 27 × 55 | 378 |
| 56° to 57° | 24¢ | 23¢ | 23¢ | 123 × 19 | 1,231 |
| 54° to 55° | 7¢ | 6¢ | 18¢ | 109 × 38 | 2,497 |
| 53° or belowhigh so far 52° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 560 | 117 |
47°F
Favorite 45° or above at 98¢ · in it now
Low so far set at 4:20 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 18 h 47 min.
From KMSP's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KMSP) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:53 AM | 48° | METAR KMSP 311053Z 12007KT 10SM BKN029 BKN055 OVC120 09/07 A3026 RMK AO2 RAE24 SLP251 P0003 T00890067 $ | ||
| 4:53 AM | 48° | METAR KMSP 310953Z 11012KT 5SM -RA BR SCT022 OVC080 09/07 A3026 RMK AO2 SLP250 P0017 T00890072 $ | ||
| 4:20 AM | 47° | SPECI KMSP 310920Z 11008KT 3SM +RA BR FEW023 BKN048 OVC070 08/07 A3026 RMK AO2 P0012 T00830072 $ | ||
| 4:04 AM | 48° | SPECI KMSP 310904Z 14006KT 2 1/2SM RA BR SCT023 BKN030 OVC048 09/07 A3028 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE P0004 T00890067 $ | ||
| 3:53 AM | 49° | METAR KMSP 310853Z 13007KT 7SM RA BKN025 OVC031 09/07 A3028 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE AND S RAB15 SLP257 P0008 60008 T00940067 50001 $ | ||
| 3:45 AM | 49° | SPECI KMSP 310845Z 14003KT 8SM VCTS -RA OVC027CB 09/07 A3029 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE AND S RAB15 LTGICCC SW-NW VCTS SW-NW MOV NE P0007 T00940067 $ | ||
| 3:37 AM | 49° | SPECI KMSP 310837Z 13005KT 2SM VCTS -RA OVC027CB 09/06 A3029 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S RAB15 LTGICCC SW-NW VCTS SW-NW MOV NE P0006 T00940061 $ | ||
| 3:32 AM | 49° | SPECI KMSP 310832Z 13005KT 1SM R30L/4000VP6000FT VCTS RA OVC027CB 09/06 A3028 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S AND W RAB15 LTGICCC SW-NW VCTS SW-NW MOV NE P0005 T00940061 $ | ||
| 3:24 AM | 50° | SPECI KMSP 310824Z 16005KT 1 3/4SM VCTS RA OVC027 10/05 A3029 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W RAB15 P0003 T01000050 $ | ||
| 2:53 AM | 52° | METAR KMSP 310753Z 12006KT 10SM OVC026 11/03 A3028 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW SLP258 T01110033 $ | ||
| 2:20 AM | 52° | SPECI KMSP 310720Z 14009KT 10SM OVC029 11/03 A3028 RMK AO2 T01110033 $ | ||
| 2:01 AM | 52° | SPECI KMSP 310701Z 14010KT 10SM OVC030 11/03 A3028 RMK AO2 T01110033 $ | ||
| 1:53 AM | 52° | METAR KMSP 310653Z 14011KT 10SM OVC028 11/03 A3028 RMK AO2 SLP256 T01110028 $ | ||
| 1:43 AM | 52° | SPECI KMSP 310643Z 13010KT 10SM OVC030 11/03 A3028 RMK AO2 T01110028 $ | ||
| 1:28 AM | 52° | SPECI KMSP 310628Z 13010KT 10SM OVC028 11/03 A3028 RMK AO2 T01110028 $ |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KMSP (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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