Kalshi's Minneapolis market settles on the daily high at Minneapolis-St. Paul International (KMSP), as the climate report CLIMSP and The Weather Company publish it. Series KXHIGHTMIN, listed since Feb 4, 2026.
Updated Oct 30, 5:21 AM CDT: newest final official high is for Thu, Oct 29.
Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport
1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 CDT
Midnight to midnight CST, local standard time: 1:00 AM to 1:00 AM on Minneapolis's clock while daylight saving is on.
Today's six brackets, in whole degrees
Since Aug 14, 2026, 15 of 76 days (20%) settled on a tail bracket: 11 below the bottom bracket and 4 above the top one. In the last 30 days: 4 of 30.
| Day | Settled on | Winning bracket | Time of high (LST) | Settled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29 | 58° | 58° to 59° | 2:47 PM | Oct 30, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Wed, Oct 28 | 72° | 72° to 73° | 3:15 PM | Oct 29, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 49° | 48° to 49° | 12:56 AM | Oct 27, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 55° | 54° to 55° | 1:33 PM | Oct 26, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 75° | 74° to 75° | 2:55 PM | Oct 25, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 76° | 75° to 76° | 12:38 PM | Oct 24, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 75° | 74° to 75° | 3:06 PM | Oct 23, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 74° | 73° to 74° | 3:47 PM | Oct 22, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 69° | 69° to 70° | 4:09 PM | Oct 21, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 66° | 66° to 67° | 4:13 PM | Oct 20, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Sun, Oct 18 | 70° | 70° or abovetop tail | 3:49 PM | Oct 19, 7:14 AM CDT |
| Sat, Oct 17 | 60° | 60° to 61° | 4:22 PM | Oct 18, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 53° | 53° to 54° | 3:40 PM | Oct 17, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 51° | 52° or belowbottom tail | 8:12 AM | Oct 16, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 55° | 58° or belowbottom tail | 3:44 PM | Oct 15, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 57° | 63° or belowbottom tail | 2:55 PM | Oct 14, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Mon, Oct 12 | 81° | 81° to 82° | 4:01 PM | Oct 13, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Sun, Oct 11 | 90° | 89° to 90° | 3:27 PM | Oct 12, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Sat, Oct 10 | 90° | 89° to 90° | 2:37 PM | Oct 11, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Fri, Oct 9 | 73° | 72° to 73° | 2:38 PM | Oct 10, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Thu, Oct 8 | 67° | 67° to 68° | 1:24 PM | Oct 9, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Wed, Oct 7 | 74° | 74° to 75° | 2:35 PM | Oct 8, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Tue, Oct 6 | 82° | 81° to 82° | 4:03 PM | Oct 7, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Mon, Oct 5 | 68° | 68° to 69° | 3:55 PM | Oct 6, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Sun, Oct 4 | 69° | 68° to 69° | 3:14 PM | Oct 5, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Sat, Oct 3 | 71° | 70° to 71° | 2:11 PM | Oct 4, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Fri, Oct 2 | 64° | 64° to 65° | 2:18 PM | Oct 3, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Thu, Oct 1 | 67° | 67° to 68° | 3:46 PM | Oct 2, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Wed, Sep 30 | 72° | 72° to 73° | 5:30 PM | Oct 1, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Tue, Sep 29 | 68° | 67° to 68° | 11:38 AM | Sep 30, 7:11 AM CDT |
Source: Each market's result, settlement value and time: Kalshi's public market data; Time of the high: NWS climate reports for KMSP, via IEM
Over 353 days (Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 29, 2026), the median time of the official high was 3:50 PM local standard time, and half the highs came between 2:39 PM and 4:52 PM. Over the last 60 days the median was 3:37 PM.
Minneapolis-St. Paul International's high came before 1 AM standard time (1 to 2 AM daylight time) on 13 of 353 days (4%): the climate day's warmest minutes were its first.
KMSP report times, standard time. 12 without a time (MM) left out.
Source: NWS climate reports for KMSP, via IEM; IEM table of NWS climate reports
On 178 days from May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the NWS's afternoon preliminary report (usually "as of 4 PM" local time) had the same high as the final report on 118 of 178 days (66%). The final report came in higher on 60 and never lower.
56 of those 60 higher finals put the high after the 4 PM cutoff.
On 1 daythe NWS sent a second final report with a different high. Kalshi's contract terms use the first one: Oct 27: 61°, then 56°.
Source: Every NWS climate report issued for KMSP (CLIMSP), via IEM's text archive
The normal high for Oct 31 is 50°F and the record high is 83°F. The normal falls to 35°F by Nov 30.
365 final highs at KMSP, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 29, 2026, against the normal and record each report printed.
Source: NWS climate reports for KMSP, via IEM; NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals
Climate-report stations near Minneapolis-St. Paul International, and how their official highs ran against it. None settles the Minneapolis market.
Other reporting stations within 25 km (METARs only, no climate report): Saint Paul/Downtown Arpt (KSTP, 15 km), South St Paul Muni (KSGS, 16 km), Eden Prairie/Flying (KFCM, 20 km), Minneapolis/Crystal Arpt (KMIC, 22 km).
Straight-line distances from KMSP; snapshot Oct 21, 2026.
Source: IEM's list of NWS climate-report sites; aviationweather.gov station information
Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport (KMSP), the station named by the climate-report code CLIMSP in the market's rules.
Midnight to midnight CST, local standard time. During daylight saving that is 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 CDT.
Trading closes at 1:00 AM CDT after the day ends. Over the last 76 settled days the result posted a median of 6.2 hours after close.
53° or below, 54° to 55°, 56° to 57°, 58° to 59°, 60° to 61°, 62° or above, compared with Minneapolis-St. Paul International's published whole-degree high. The two tails are strict.
On 15 of 76 settled days from Aug 14, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026 (20%): 11 on the bottom tail and 4 on the top tail.
Over 353 days to Oct 29, 2026, the median time of the official high at KMSP was 3:50 PM local standard time. On 13 of those days it came before 1 AM standard time.
From May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the afternoon preliminary report's high matched the final report's on 118 of 178 days. The final was higher on 60 and lower on 0.
The rules every city shares · Reading CLIMSP · The Aug 14, 2026 change
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