Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Fri, Oct 16, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Los Angeles, 99°F (+25°).
- Coolest against normal: Oklahoma City, 59°F (−14°).
- 15 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Miami 13 days, New Orleans 6 days, Atlanta 5 days, Louisville 5 days.
- On a run below normal: Phoenix 6 days, Minneapolis 4 days, Denver 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Atlanta 84° (record 85°), San Diego 96° (record 97°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 12 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements13 days ago, settled Oct 17, 1:10 PM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 84° | 2:44 PM | +10°normal 74° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (55¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 75° | 1:17 AM | −8°normal 83° | 75° to 76°Upset: favorite was 72° or below (47¢)settled 7:17 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 69° | 4:51 PM | +7°normal 62° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 1:10 PM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 58° | 2:50 PM | −5°normal 63° | 59° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 66° | 3:07 PM | −13°normal 79° | 67° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 57° | 3:02 PM | −8°normal 65° | 57° to 58°Upset: favorite was 55° to 56° (57¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 79° | 2:31 PM | −3°normal 82° | 79° to 80°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 83° | 3:49 PM | +2°normal 81° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 99° | 2:23 PM | +25°normal 74° | 95° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 77° | 2:06 AM | +6°normal 71° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 12:55 PM | +4°normal 86° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 53° | 3:40 PM | −5°normal 58° | 53° to 54°Upset: favorite was 51° to 52° (42¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 88° | 2:46 PM | +7°normal 81° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (50¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 72° | 5:57 PM | +8°normal 64° | 74° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 75° | 4:18 PM | +9°normal 66° | 75° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 59° | 2:52 PM | −14°normal 73° | 58° to 59°Upset: favorite was 56° to 57° (48¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 77° | 3:57 PM | +10°normal 67° | 77° or belowUpset: favorite was 80° to 81° (35¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 87° | 3:43 PM | −2°normal 89° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (56¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 75° | 1:48 AM | −7°normal 82° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 96° | 2:56 PM | +21°normal 75° | 95° to 96°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (44¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 85° | 1:50 PM | +12°normal 73° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (38¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 77° | 3:27 PM | +17°normal 60° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 73° to 74° (45¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 74° | 4:07 PM | +9°normal 65° | 75° or belowUpset: favorite was 76° to 77° (42¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 80° | 3:45 PM | +11°normal 69° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 82-83°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 74-75°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 56-57°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 66-67°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 58-59°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 78-79°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 98-99°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 74-75°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 84-85°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 74-75°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam19°C
- Ankara12°C
- Beijing20°C
- Buenos Aires15°C
- Busan25°C
- Cape Town22°C
- Chengdu21°C
- Chongqing24°C
- Guangzhou33°C
- Helsinki13°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul14°C
- Jeddah34°C
- Karachi37°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London17°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid27°C
- Manila34°C
- Mexico City22°C
- Milan20°C
- Moscow12°C
- Munich20°C
- Panama City33°C
- Paris21°C
- Qingdao25°C
- Sao Paulo27°C
- Seoul23°C
- Shanghai25°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv27°C
- Tokyo25°C
- Toronto16°C or higher
- Warsaw14°C or higher
- Wellington11°C
- Wuhan23°C