Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 20 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 109°F (+17°).
- Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 70°F (−4°).
- 19 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 16 days, Oklahoma City 16 days, Atlanta 11 days, Miami 11 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 6 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Oklahoma City 109° (record 104°), Miami 100° (record 96°), Phoenix 114° (record 115°), New Orleans 96° (record 99°).
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements72 days ago, settled Aug 19, 10:20 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 92° | 4:48 PM | +3°normal 89° | 92° to 93°settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 102° | 3:41 PM | +5°normal 97° | 102° to 103°settled 7:19 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 76° | 3:06 PM | −4°normal 80° | 78° or belowsettled 7:21 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 81° | 11:29 AM | −2°normal 83° | 80° to 81°settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 105° | 4:40 PM | +9°normal 96° | 104° to 105°settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 88° | 3:26 PM | +1°normal 87° | 88° or belowsettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 96° | 1:44 PM | +2°normal 94° | 96° to 97°settled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 109° | 2:55 PM | +6°normal 103° | 108° to 109°settled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 82° | 1:45 PM | +5°normal 77° | 81° to 82°settled 7:20 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 85° | 4:44 PM | −4°normal 89° | not settled yet |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 100° | 2:47 PM | +9°normal 91° | 99° to 100°settled 7:20 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 84° | 3:39 PM | +3°normal 81° | 83° or abovesettled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 96° | 2:31 PM | +5°normal 91° | 95° to 96°settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 86° | 12:54 PM | +3°normal 83° | 85° to 86°settled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 86° | 4:48 PM | +1°normal 85° | not settled yet |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 109° | 4:16 PM | +17°normal 92° | 108° to 109°settled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 88° | — | +2°normal 86° | 88° to 89°settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 114° | 5:08 PM | +9°normal 105° | 114° to 115°settled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 100° | 4:49 PM | +4°normal 96° | 100° to 101°settled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 79° | 2:04 PM | +1°normal 78° | not settled yet |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 70° | 2:32 PM | −4°normal 74° | 70° to 71°settled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 80° | 4:26 PM | +2°normal 78° | 80° to 81°settled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 84° | — | 0°normal 84° | not settled yet |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 89° | 3:31 PM | +1°normal 88° | 88° to 89°settled 7:21 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Sat, Sep 5
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- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 92-93°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 100-101°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 78-79°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 104-105°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 88-89°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 94-95°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 80-81°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 98-99°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 84-85°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 68-69°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 78-79°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam21°C
- Ankara30°C
- Beijing32°C
- Buenos Aires11°C
- Busan31°C
- Cape Town19°C
- Chengdu23°C
- Chongqing34°C
- Guangzhou34°C
- Helsinki20°C
- Hong Kong32°C
- Istanbul32°C
- Jeddah38°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi32°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London26°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid39°C
- Manila29°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan32°C
- Moscow22°C
- Munich20°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris27°C
- Qingdao33°C
- Sao Paulo31°C
- Seoul31°C
- Shanghai31°C
- Shenzhen34°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv32°C
- Tokyo31°C
- Toronto27°C
- Warsaw21°C
- Wellington12°C
- Wuhan35°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher