Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS), not Camp Mabry. Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 CDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 5:20 AM CDT.
Austin so far today: the high is 66°F (hourly reading, 1:53 AM), in the 76° or below bracket. The favorite is 79° to 80° at 39¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 13° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM CDT. 5 reports from KAUS from 1:00 AM to 6:13 AM CDT, between 66°F and 66°F; the latest 66°F at 5:53 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 85° or above | 1¢ | |
| 83° to 84° | 4¢ | |
| 81° to 82° | 27¢ | |
| 79° to 80° | 39¢ | favorite |
| 77° to 78° | 23¢ | |
| 76° or below | 8¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 5:53 AM | 66°F |
| 4:53 AM | 66°F |
| 3:53 AM | 66°F |
| 2:53 AM | 66°F |
| 1:53 AM | 66°F |
Which bracket will Austin settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
Create a free account to play: calls on your 3 cities, your record beside the market's favorite and the model's.
Prices (30 min late) 31 min ago· Readings 20 min ago
High so far today
66°F
hourly reading at 1:53 AM, 5 reports so far
Latest reading
66°F
taken 5:53 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
18 h 47 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 789 | 31 |
| 83° to 84° | 4¢ | 3¢ | 5¢ | 121 × 89 | 508 |
| 81° to 82° | 28¢ | 25¢ | 29¢ | 9 × 38 | 1,819 |
| 79° to 80°favorite | 39¢ | 38¢ | 39¢ | 66 × 64 | 1,244 |
| 77° to 78° | 23¢ | 22¢ | 23¢ | 1 × 12 | 1,370 |
| 76° or belowhigh so far 66° | 8¢ | 7¢ | 10¢ | 35 × 62 | 2,468 |
66°F
Favorite 65° or above at 76¢ · in it now
Low so far set at 5:53 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 18 h 47 min.
From KAUS's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Highest hourly reading so far at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS): 66°F at 12:53 AM.
Polymarket's highest-priced range is 78°–79° at 39¢.
Same station as Kalshi, but Polymarket settles on the highest hourly reading, midnight to midnight local time.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KAUS) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:53 AM | 66° | METAR KAUS 311053Z 02003KT 5SM BR OVC006 19/18 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP167 T01890183 | ||
| 4:53 AM | 66° | METAR KAUS 310953Z 35003KT 5SM BR OVC008 19/18 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP170 T01890183 | ||
| 3:53 AM | 66° | METAR KAUS 310853Z 03003KT 5SM BR OVC008 19/18 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP173 60001 T01890183 50000 | ||
| 2:53 AM | 66° | METAR KAUS 310753Z 33003KT 5SM BR OVC010 19/18 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP175 T01890183 | ||
| 2:51 AM | — | SPECI KAUS 310751Z 34004KT 5SM BR OVC010 19/18 A3006 RMK AO2 | ||
| 1:53 AM | 66° | METAR KAUS 310653Z 36004KT 4SM BR OVC008 19/18 A3006 RMK AO2 RAB06E44 SLP173 P0001 T01890183 |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KAUS (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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