Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Oct 10, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 90°F (+29°).
- Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 65°F (−9°).
- 17 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Los Angeles 34 days, San Diego 16 days, Las Vegas 11 days, Denver 9 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Minneapolis 90° (record 90°), Miami 91° (record 94°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 17 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements12 days ago, settled Oct 18, 2:24 PM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 68° | 4:06 PM | −9°normal 77° | 68° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 93° | 3:40 PM | +8°normal 85° | 93° to 94°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (61¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 63° | 3:12 PM | −1°normal 64° | 63° to 64°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 81° | 2:25 PM | +15°normal 66° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 91° | 3:11 PM | +10°normal 81° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 83° | 2:14 PM | +15°normal 68° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:07 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 86° | — | +2°normal 84° | 87° or belowUpset: favorite was 88° to 89° (60¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 87° | 2:59 PM | +3°normal 84° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (51¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 79° | 10:31 AM | +4°normal 75° | 76° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 69° | 3:42 PM | −4°normal 73° | 70° or belowUpset: favorite was 71° to 72° (37¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 91° | 12:29 PM | +4°normal 87° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 90° | 2:37 PM | +29°normal 61° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 81° | 4:32 PM | −2°normal 83° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 69° | 1:58 PM | +2°normal 67° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 71° | 1:19 PM | +3°normal 68° | 70° to 71°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 91° | 2:55 PM | +16°normal 75° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 76° | 1:51 PM | +7°normal 69° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (48¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 96° | 1:04 PM | +4°normal 92° | 95° to 96°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (34¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 89° | 3:29 PM | +5°normal 84° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 78° | 9:36 AM | +3°normal 75° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 11:24 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 65° | 1:56 PM | −9°normal 74° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 58° | 2:45 PM | −5°normal 63° | 58° to 59°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 73° | 1:35 PM | +5°normal 68° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (51¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 72° | 12:39 PM | 0°normal 72° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
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- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Wed, Sep 23
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- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
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- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
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- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
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- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 68-69°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 92-93°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 80-81°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 88-89°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 82-83°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 86-87°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 90-91°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 68-69°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 56-57°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam14°C
- Ankara24°C
- Beijing27°C
- Buenos Aires16°C
- Busan28°C
- Cape Town25°C
- Chengdu20°C
- Chongqing22°C
- Guangzhou32°C
- Helsinki9°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul27°C
- Jeddah35°C
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London16°C
- Lucknow30°C
- Madrid25°C
- Manila31°C
- Mexico City22°C
- Milan21°C
- Moscow10°C
- Munich13°C
- Panama City33°C
- Paris18°C
- Qingdao26°C
- Sao Paulo31°C
- Seoul24°C
- Shanghai27°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv29°C
- Tokyo24°C
- Toronto16°C
- Warsaw13°C
- Wellington20°C
- Wuhan29°C