Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Thu, Oct 8, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Denver, 84°F (+15°).
- Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 75°F (+1°).
- 24 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Los Angeles 32 days, San Diego 14 days, Las Vegas 9 days, Seattle 8 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Las Vegas 98° (record 98°), Denver 84° (record 85°), Miami 90° (record 93°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 18 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements21 days ago, settled Oct 9, 10:12 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 85° | 2:24 PM | +8°normal 77° | 84° to 85°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 92° | 3:01 PM | +7°normal 85° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 73° | 3:02 PM | +8°normal 65° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (59¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 73° | 3:06 PM | +6°normal 67° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 90° | 3:57 PM | +8°normal 82° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 84° | 3:22 PM | +15°normal 69° | 83° to 84°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 92° | 2:23 PM | +7°normal 85° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 98° | 3:23 PM | +13°normal 85° | 97° to 98°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 80° | 11:44 AM | +5°normal 75° | 82° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 84° | 3:56 PM | +10°normal 74° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (64¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 1:39 PM | +3°normal 87° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 67° | 1:24 PM | +5°normal 62° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 85° | 3:39 PM | +2°normal 83° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 73° | 2:51 PM | +6°normal 67° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (52¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 78° | 2:01 PM | +9°normal 69° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 87° | 3:54 PM | +11°normal 76° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (65¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 80° | 1:28 PM | +10°normal 70° | 79° to 80°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 104° | 3:24 PM | +12°normal 92° | 104° to 105°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 90° | 3:37 PM | +5°normal 85° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 83° | 1:03 PM | +8°normal 75° | 84° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 75° | 12:23 PM | +1°normal 74° | 76° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 67° | 4:17 PM | +4°normal 63° | 67° or belowUpset: favorite was 68° to 69° (36¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 75° | 2:33 PM | +6°normal 69° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (64¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 81° | 3:18 PM | +9°normal 72° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 84-85°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 90-91°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 72-73°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 90-91°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 84-85°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 90-91°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 80-81°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 76-77°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 72-73°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam15°C
- Ankara23°C
- Beijing26°C
- Buenos Aires17°C
- Busan25°C
- Cape Town19°C
- Chengdu25°C
- Chongqing28°C
- Guangzhou31°C
- Helsinki13°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul22°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi34°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London15°C
- Lucknow29°C
- Madrid20°C
- Manila31°C
- Mexico City20°C
- Milan20°C
- Moscow13°C
- Munich20°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris17°C
- Qingdao26°C
- Sao Paulo33°C
- Seoul22°C
- Shanghai26°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv29°C
- Tokyo23°C
- Toronto19°C
- Warsaw20°C
- Wellington14°C
- Wuhan28°C