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How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Oct 26, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 27, 10:12 AM EDT.

Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.

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  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Boston, 73°F (+14°).
  • Coolest against normal: Denver, 54°F (−7°).
  • 19 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Chicago 9 days, Louisville 8 days, Austin 7 days, Dallas 7 days.
  • On a run below normal: Miami 6 days, Denver 3 days.
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 18 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM5 days ago, fetched Oct 27, 7:20 AM EDTKalshi settlements4 days ago, settled Oct 27, 10:12 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL71°0°normal 71°71° to 72°✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS80°+1°normal 79°80° or belowUpset: favorite was 83° to 84° (62¢)
BostonLogan · KBOS73°+14°normal 59°72° or above✓ favorite came in
ChicagoMidway · KMDW64°+5°normal 59°64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 62° to 63° (42¢)
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW81°+6°normal 75°80° to 81°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN54°−7°normal 61°58° or below✓ favorite came in
HoustonHobby · KHOU82°+3°normal 79°81° to 82°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS79°+2°normal 77°78° to 79°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX77°+3°normal 74°77° to 78°✓ favorite came in
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF76°+10°normal 66°76° to 77°✓ favorite came in
MiamiMiami International · KMIA83°−1°normal 84°83° to 84°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP49°−4°normal 53°48° to 49°✓ favorite came in
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY78°+1°normal 77°77° to 78°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC69°+8°normal 61°68° to 69°✓ favorite came in
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR73°+11°normal 62°72° to 73°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC75°+6°normal 69°74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (67¢)
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL71°+8°normal 63°70° to 71°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX86°+1°normal 85°85° to 86°✓ favorite came in
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT80°+1°normal 79°80° to 81°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN78°+4°normal 74°78° to 79°✓ favorite came in
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO68°−2°normal 70°68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (51¢)
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA58°+1°normal 57°57° to 58°Upset: favorite was 55° to 56° (46¢)
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN71°+9°normal 62°71° to 72°Upset: favorite was 69° to 70° (69¢)
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA72°+6°normal 66°72° to 73°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta70-71°FKATLholds Kalshi's high
Austin78-79°FKAUScame out apart
Chicago62-63°FKORDcame out apart
Dallas78-79°FKDALcame out apart
Denver54-55°FKBKFholds Kalshi's high
Houston82-83°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles76-77°FKLAXholds Kalshi's high
Miami82-83°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City70-71°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco68-69°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle58-59°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high

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