Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Austin, 101°F (+11°).
- Coolest against normal: Chicago, 65°F (−10°).
- 10 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 50 days, Austin 38 days, Los Angeles 15 days, Oklahoma City 11 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 7 days, Chicago 4 days, Minneapolis 4 days, Seattle 4 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Austin 101° (record 102°), Dallas 98° (record 99°), San Antonio 99° (record 100°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 8 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements38 days ago, settled Sep 22, 10:10 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 90° | 4:08 PM | +7°normal 83° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (45¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 101° | 3:12 PM | +11°normal 90° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (57¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 65° | 1:14 PM | −6°normal 71° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (54¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 65° | 2:22 PM | −10°normal 75° | 65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 63° to 64° (60¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 98° | 4:28 PM | +11°normal 87° | 98° or aboveUpset: favorite was 96° to 97° (43¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 75° | 4:08 PM | −3°normal 78° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 93° | 2:36 PM | +5°normal 88° | 92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (46¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 91° | 2:55 PM | −2°normal 93° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (53¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 77° | 3:13 PM | +1°normal 76° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (50¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 88° | 1:55 PM | +7°normal 81° | 87° to 88°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 88° | 2:56 PM | −1°normal 89° | 88° to 89°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 62° | 3:59 PM | −9°normal 71° | 62° to 63°Upset: favorite was 59° or below (54¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 92° | 2:19 PM | +5°normal 87° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 72° | 1:00 PM | −2°normal 74° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (50¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 75° | 1:53 PM | −1°normal 76° | 73° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 85° | 3:46 PM | +3°normal 82° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (43¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 75° | 12:23 PM | −2°normal 77° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (41¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 102° | 4:06 PM | +3°normal 99° | 101° to 102°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 99° | 3:40 PM | +10°normal 89° | 98° to 99°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (51¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 77° | 1:44 PM | 0°normal 77° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (46¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 68° | 2:25 PM | −7°normal 75° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 67° | 2:51 PM | −3°normal 70° | 68° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 73° | 1:26 PM | −2°normal 75° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (55¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 74° | 11:25 AM | −5°normal 79° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 79° or above (35¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 90-91°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 98-99°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 66-67°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 96-97°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 76-77°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 92-93°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 70-71°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 68-69°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam19°C
- Ankara26°C
- Beijing31°C
- Buenos Aires16°C
- Busan28°C
- Cape Town27°C
- Chengdu29°C
- Chongqing24°C
- Guangzhou36°C
- Helsinki16°C
- Hong Kong33°C
- Istanbul26°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi41°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London23°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid33°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan30°C
- Moscow21°C
- Munich17°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris22°C
- Qingdao29°C
- Sao Paulo31°C
- Seoul27°C
- Shanghai29°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv30°C
- Tokyo26°C
- Toronto15°C
- Warsaw14°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan25°C
- Zhengzhou25°C