Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Sep 20, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Louisville, 95°F (+14°).
- Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 64°F (−11°).
- 13 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 49 days, Austin 37 days, Los Angeles 14 days, Oklahoma City 10 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 6 days, Chicago 3 days, Minneapolis 3 days, Seattle 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Louisville 95° (record 96°), Phoenix 104° (record 107°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 9 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements39 days ago, settled Sep 21, 10:20 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 89° | 4:24 PM | +6°normal 83° | 88° to 89°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 98° | 4:16 PM | +8°normal 90° | 97° to 98°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (49¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 63° | 3:48 PM | −9°normal 72° | 62° to 63°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 69° | 5:18 AM | −6°normal 75° | 69° to 70°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 96° | 2:49 PM | +9°normal 87° | 96° or belowUpset: favorite was 97° to 98° (45¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 74° | 3:08 PM | −4°normal 78° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 94° | 3:38 PM | +5°normal 89° | 93° to 94°Upset: favorite was 95° to 96° (46¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 95° | 3:49 PM | +2°normal 93° | 94° to 95°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 78° | 12:16 PM | +2°normal 76° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (52¢)settled 7:20 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 95° | 3:20 PM | +14°normal 81° | 94° to 95°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 1:02 PM | +1°normal 89° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (46¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 66° | 5:06 PM | −5°normal 71° | 65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 69° to 70° (40¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 91° | 3:42 PM | +3°normal 88° | 91° to 92°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (55¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 69° | 7:23 PM | −6°normal 75° | 70° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 71° | 6:41 PM | −5°normal 76° | 71° to 72°Upset: favorite was 70° or below (46¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 94° | 12:29 PM | +12°normal 82° | 94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 89° or below (28¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 78° | 5:06 PM | 0°normal 78° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 104° | 2:42 PM | +5°normal 99° | 103° to 104°Upset: favorite was 101° to 102° (62¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 94° | 4:10 PM | +5°normal 89° | 95° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 77° | 2:23 PM | 0°normal 77° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (49¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 64° | 4:29 PM | −11°normal 75° | 64° or belowUpset: favorite was 65° to 66° (43¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 70° | 4:19 PM | −1°normal 71° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 69° or below (63¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 73° | 5:11 PM | −3°normal 76° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (44¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 84° | 1:07 PM | +5°normal 79° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (33¢)settled 7:20 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 88-89°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 96-97°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 70-71°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 96-97°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 74-75°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 92-93°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 72-73°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 70-71°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam19°C
- Ankara25°C
- Beijing28°C
- Buenos Aires25°C
- Busan28°C
- Cape Town26°C
- Chengdu27°C
- Chongqing25°C
- Guangzhou36°C
- Helsinki17°C
- Hong Kong33°C
- Istanbul24°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi37°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London20°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid31°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan27°C
- Moscow19°C
- Munich24°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris24°C
- Qingdao29°C
- Sao Paulo21°C or below
- Seoul26°C
- Shanghai28°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore31°C
- Tel Aviv31°C
- Tokyo23°C
- Toronto21°C
- Warsaw22°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan27°C
- Zhengzhou23°C