Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Oct 19, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 66°F (+9°).
- Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 65°F (−7°).
- 13 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Los Angeles 6 days, San Diego 6 days, Denver 3 days, Minneapolis 3 days.
- On a run below normal: Austin 4 days, Houston 4 days, San Antonio 4 days, Atlanta 3 days.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM11 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements11 days ago, settled Oct 20, 10:12 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 70° | 4:02 PM | −3°normal 73° | 70° to 71°settled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 80° | 4:25 PM | −2°normal 82° | 80° to 81°settled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 56° | 1:53 PM | −5°normal 61° | 55° to 56°settled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 68° | 3:14 PM | +6°normal 62° | 67° to 68°settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 77° | 3:47 PM | 0°normal 77° | 77° to 78°settled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 71° | 3:49 PM | +7°normal 64° | 71° to 72°settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 80° | 1:10 PM | −1°normal 81° | 80° to 81°settled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 81° | 3:07 PM | +1°normal 80° | 80° to 81°settled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 80° | 10:01 AM | +6°normal 74° | 79° or abovesettled 7:10 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 71° | 4:36 PM | +2°normal 69° | 70° to 71°settled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 86° | 1:29 PM | 0°normal 86° | 85° to 86°settled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 66° | 4:13 PM | +9°normal 57° | 66° to 67°settled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 75° | 3:07 PM | −5°normal 80° | 74° to 75°settled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 62° | 3:43 PM | −1°normal 63° | 62° to 63°settled 7:09 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 66° | 3:56 PM | +1°normal 65° | 66° to 67°settled 10:04 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 72° | 2:16 PM | 0°normal 72° | 72° to 73°settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 67° | 4:05 PM | +1°normal 66° | 66° to 67°settled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 91° | 1:41 PM | +3°normal 88° | 90° to 91°settled 7:11 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 79° | 3:23 PM | −2°normal 81° | 79° to 80°settled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 82° | 11:35 AM | +8°normal 74° | 82° to 83°settled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 65° | 1:32 PM | −7°normal 72° | 65° to 66°settled 7:11 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 62° | 3:57 PM | +3°normal 59° | 61° to 62°settled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 66° | 3:05 PM | +2°normal 64° | 66° to 67°settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 69° | 3:46 PM | +1°normal 68° | 68° to 69°settled 7:10 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 68-69°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 80-81°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 66-67°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 76-77°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 74-75°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 78-79°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 78-79°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 86-87°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 62-63°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 62-63°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam15°C
- Ankara14°C
- Beijing20°C
- Buenos Aires19°C
- Busan24°C
- Cape Town18°C
- Chengdu23°C
- Chongqing19°C
- Guangzhou35°C
- Helsinki10°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul18°C
- Jeddah34°C
- Karachi37°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London14°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid14°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City23°C
- Milan20°C
- Moscow12°C
- Munich14°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris13°C
- Qingdao19°C
- Sao Paulo22°C
- Seoul17°C
- Shanghai25°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv26°C
- Tokyo27°C
- Toronto21°C
- Warsaw10°C
- Wellington17°C
- Wuhan18°C
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The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
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