Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Sep 19, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 99°F (+16°).
- Coolest against normal: Minneapolis, 62°F (−10°).
- 13 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 48 days, Austin 36 days, Los Angeles 13 days, Oklahoma City 9 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 5 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Louisville 96° (record 96°), Oklahoma City 99° (record 99°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 10 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements40 days ago, settled Sep 20, 11:02 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 92° | 4:15 PM | +9°normal 83° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 97° | 2:10 PM | +7°normal 90° | 96° to 97°Upset: favorite was 98° to 99° (56¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 62° | 2:15 PM | −10°normal 72° | 61° to 62°Upset: favorite was 63° to 64° (67¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 72° | 4:58 PM | −3°normal 75° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (37¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 96° | — | +8°normal 88° | 96° or belowUpset: favorite was 97° to 98° (63¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 77° | 3:41 PM | −2°normal 79° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 93° | — | +4°normal 89° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 94° | 4:45 PM | 0°normal 94° | 93° to 94°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 77° | 1:43 PM | +1°normal 76° | 77° or belowUpset: favorite was 78° to 79° (43¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 96° | — | +15°normal 81° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | — | +1°normal 89° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 88° to 89° (48¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 62° | 7:53 PM | −10°normal 72° | 62° or below✓ favorite came insettled 10:02 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 92° | — | +4°normal 88° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 69° | 3:24 PM | −6°normal 75° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (53¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 71° | 2:38 PM | −6°normal 77° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (48¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 99° | 3:43 PM | +16°normal 83° | 98° to 99°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 78° | 12:49 PM | 0°normal 78° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (42¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 103° | 3:36 PM | +3°normal 100° | 103° to 104°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 92° | 4:11 PM | +3°normal 89° | 94° or belowUpset: favorite was 95° to 96° (46¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 78° | 12:44 PM | +1°normal 77° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (53¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 68° | 12:07 PM | −7°normal 75° | 69° or belowUpset: favorite was 72° to 73° (38¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 63° | 5:29 PM | −8°normal 71° | 69° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 73° | 1:03 PM | −3°normal 76° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (36¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 81° | 3:11 PM | +1°normal 80° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (48¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Mon, Aug 31
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 90-91°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 96-97°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 70-71°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 96-97°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 76-77°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 92-93°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 70-71°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 66-67°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 63°F or below | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam20°C
- Ankara24°C
- Beijing28°C
- Buenos Aires25°C
- Busan28°C
- Cape Town23°C
- Chengdu23°C
- Chongqing26°C
- Guangzhou36°C
- Helsinki16°C
- Hong Kong33°C
- Istanbul24°C
- Jeddah37°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur32°C
- London22°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid29°C
- Manila34°C
- Mexico City25°C
- Milan26°C
- Moscow18°C
- Munich22°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris25°C
- Qingdao29°C
- Sao Paulo27°C
- Seoul28°C
- Shanghai27°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore34°C
- Tel Aviv30°C
- Tokyo24°C
- Toronto18°C
- Warsaw22°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan28°C
- Zhengzhou26°C