Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Thu, Oct 1, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Louisville, 92°F (+15°).
- Coolest against normal: Miami, 83°F (−5°).
- 16 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Los Angeles 25 days, Houston 14 days, San Diego 7 days, New Orleans 6 days.
- On a run below normal: Denver 4 days, Miami 3 days.
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 11 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements28 days ago, settled Oct 2, 10:21 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 86° | 4:27 PM | +6°normal 80° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (56¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 87° | 11:08 AM | 0°normal 87° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 86° or below (31¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 79° | 12:33 PM | +12°normal 67° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (39¢)settled 7:21 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 72° | 11:41 AM | +2°normal 70° | 71° to 72°Upset: favorite was 73° to 74° (39¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 81° | 1:01 AM | −3°normal 84° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 80° or below (46¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 70° | 1:52 PM | −2°normal 72° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 68° to 69° (39¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 91° | 2:26 PM | +5°normal 86° | 90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (51¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 93° | 4:47 PM | +5°normal 88° | 93° to 94°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 76° | 2:10 PM | +1°normal 75° | 78° or belowUpset: favorite was 79° to 80° (40¢)settled 7:21 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 92° | 2:54 PM | +15°normal 77° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 83° | 11:44 PM | −5°normal 88° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (37¢)settled 7:20 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 67° | 3:46 PM | +1°normal 66° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 91° | 3:07 PM | +6°normal 85° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 76° | 1:03 PM | +6°normal 70° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 81° | 1:26 PM | +9°normal 72° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (41¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 76° | 4:28 PM | −3°normal 79° | 78° or belowUpset: favorite was 79° to 80° (30¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 83° | 4:19 PM | +10°normal 73° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 95° | 4:21 PM | 0°normal 95° | 93° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 84° | 10:36 AM | −3°normal 87° | 84° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 78° | 2:37 PM | +2°normal 76° | 79° or belowUpset: favorite was 82° to 83° (24¢)settled 7:15 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 73° | 1:25 PM | −2°normal 75° | 74° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 68° | 3:49 PM | +2°normal 66° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 79° | 4:03 PM | +8°normal 71° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 83° | 3:45 PM | +8°normal 75° | 82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (52¢)settled 7:21 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 84-85°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 86-87°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 70-71°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 80-81°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 68-69°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 88-89°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 82-83°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 78-79°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 72-73°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam21°C
- Ankara17°C
- Beijing23°C
- Buenos Aires15°C
- Busan26°C
- Cape Town27°C or higher
- Chengdu27°C
- Chongqing22°C
- Guangzhou36°C
- Helsinki16°C
- Hong Kong33°C
- Istanbul20°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi34°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London22°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid29°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City25°C
- Milan24°C
- Moscow13°C
- Munich24°C
- Panama City29°C
- Paris22°C
- Qingdao23°C
- Sao Paulo26°C
- Seoul21°C
- Shanghai25°C
- Shenzhen33°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv28°C
- Tokyo27°C
- Toronto23°C
- Warsaw21°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan22°C
- Zhengzhou22°C or below